jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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It’s brutal outside today but I wonder if the PWS dew points can be biased too high. The airport dew points are in the upper 60s not the low to mid 70s the PWS seems to have. The seabreeze will definitely kick up the humidity though so we might cut 3-5 degrees off the temp but add 3-5 degrees to the dewpoint in places more than a few miles from the beaches.
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Around 80 now on Fire Island/Captree. May not have gotten too hot there in the first place but as the breeze kicks up it will cool down more further north.
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91 already.
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91 here.
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The record 2014 Islip deluge was a summer warm front.
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Looks like more widespread convection will be coming tomorrow and Monday. We'll see what happens.
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Yeah, I probably spoke too soon with the coastal drought. Very difficult if not impossible to get anything more than a short lived dry spell here these days. Florida here we come.
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Decent downpour here for 10 minutes or so. Lawns need it.
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If the sea breeze holds off and isn't too strong, we'll easily make it to the high 90s up here. And it will be more brutal than anywhere-we get the heat plus the humidity. On that map at least NJ's dewpoints will stay in the 60s. On another note, argh about the storms yet again. Huntington village/Halesite getting nailed, maybe a drop or two here.
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The area I drove through last night definitely got rocked. Reminded me of what I saw after Isaias. A mile away though, nothing. Was a very localized event.
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Drove on Portion Rd in Lake Ronkonkoma this evening, whoa is right. Had to take a detour since part of Portion Rd was closed, and saw numerous big limbs and a few trees down, along with power wires and the neighborhood entirely had power out. Part of Motor Parkway in Islandia was also closed. That area got whacked pretty good. Not that I’m any expert but it looked like a localized microburst vs a tornado but I’m sure Upton is investigating.
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Zero up here. Heard a rumble or two of thunder.
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91 here. First 90+ in quite some time.
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These big onshore flow days actually depress upwelling. The offshore flow days where the heat makes it to the shore actually help upwelling.
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It’ll be sad to see the strong storms over NJ hit the sea breeze wall and collapse later. Maybe we can salvage a few showers east of the city. Looking like a coastal drought summer developing, delayed but not denied. Until the WAR can build west I think the gorgeous but largely boring pattern continues.
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We could easily have 2 tropical systems come up here in August and any dry spell is long gone. It’s incredibly hard to get more than a short lived moderate drought here.
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Perma-Nina rages on. It’ll be interesting to see what it’ll take for it to finally end. The Southwest really needs for that to happen.
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Yep, just south of me approaching 1” in N Melville.
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Made it to 91 here but now 80 after the sea breeze started. That lifted the dew points up to the low 60s.
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We definitely lucked out (if you’re anti-heat) with the constant blocking which sticks the trough over the NE. We really need the Midwest ridge to be dominant and have a hot westerly downslope flow for us to really heat up. We’ll likely eventually be under the WAR that will heat us up to low-mid 90s with atrocious humidity. That’s become the norm here. Bring the Carolinas north to our area.
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I always LOL when the cold front passes and the coast finally heats up from the warm NYC air coming through.
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More likely than not we end up with the usual South Shore drought season, delayed not denied. The upper level support also looked to be a bit too far SW for us this morning.
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Most of it looks to end up SW of the city. The stuff over upstate NY looks to be weakening as it approaches while the storms over NJ are maintaining.
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If it’s going to happen that we push upper 90s or over 100 that’s how it happens-the drier heat builds up to the west and surges in. We need the westerly downsloping wind to really get the record challenging numbers.
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On some days they can have a breeze from Newark Bay but generally yes. The hottest place in the entire metro might be central Queens near Maspeth/Corona. I believe Bluewave posted a map some time ago. LGA can get the NE breeze from the sound and JFK obviously has the seabreeze almost every day. Central Park would also be a regular hot spot if there wasn’t the issue with the thermometer.
