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jm1220

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Everything posted by jm1220

  1. jm1220
    Raining moderate again.
  2. jm1220
    Finally tapering down. Radar estimates 3.8” (I’m sure I’m over 4”)
  3. jm1220
    Watching News 12, Atlantic Beach looks like a disaster. Probably 18”+ water on the main road. Wind really picking up again and still pouring, thankfully looks like the worst is about done here.
  4. jm1220
    Wind definitely increased here too when the firehose started.
  5. jm1220
    Up to 3.4” radar estimate (which if anything has been low island wide)
  6. jm1220
    Just about 3” here. This rain is crazy.
  7. jm1220
    We’re not getting 5” more rain after the heavy line passes. Maybe 0.5”.
  8. jm1220
    The HREF mean was a little low if anything, I think it was 5-6” in the heaviest area. The max was closer to correct where it had 10” amounts. I’m sure many in S Nassau will have 7-9” and JFK is over 8”. Rockaways look like the worst where radar estimates 10”. And this isn’t over-there won’t be heavy rain after the firehose passes but enough to maybe add 0.25” or so.
  9. jm1220
    HRRR did go too crazy yesterday but 8-9” is nothing to sneeze at. The models nailed the potential and general location of the greatest threat.
  10. jm1220
    It’s absolutely pouring here and I’m over 2” now per radar. Heavy rain goes back to around Westbury and it’s not moving fast. We won’t get what the city/Nassau got but we’re in for a rough couple hours.
  11. jm1220
    No…please no.
  12. jm1220
    Pouring here finally with the firehose. And it’s still not making quick headway east.
  13. jm1220
    Yyyyep lol. I don’t think the water system was entirely fixed after Sandy either. That literally drove the sewage up through the pipes along with the 8 foot surge.
  14. jm1220
    Uggh not good.
  15. jm1220
    All of SW Nassau between 5-8” now. Thankfully the line is making some headway east but that’s bad for me.
  16. jm1220
    My turn with this now-rain picking up.
  17. jm1220
    My mother's driving in this right now in Long Beach. Can't imagine-have to think she pulled over.
  18. jm1220
    This definitely has to be the south shore's Ida, since that area escaped the worst of it then. S Nassau just getting annihilated, and JFK with nearly 8" total.
  19. jm1220
    Firehose is making some headway east. I might be in for it near the Nassau border.
  20. jm1220
    5 towns area/Atlantic Beach getting destroyed. There’ll definitely be 6-8” rain totals in that area. Long Beach to Rockville Centre next up. Edit-probably conservative on the rain totals. Already 6” in some of those places.
  21. jm1220
    You can see on the radar how this setup works-the smaller cells firing up over the ocean and heading NW, then exploding into the firehose when they reach the inverted trough.
  22. jm1220
    The main firehose band looks to be pivoting east very slowly. Nassau might be screwed pretty soon and my area needs to keep an eye on it too. Already 3-5” in western Nassau.
  23. jm1220
    The Van Wyck is a disaster on a clear day, can’t imagine it now.
  24. jm1220
    I wouldn’t follow any model too closely, they’re flopping around and some are clearly wrong already like the 12z GFS.
  25. jm1220
    State of emergency declared in NYC.
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