jm1220
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Everything posted by jm1220
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My hope would be for the eastern track-more rain area wide which we still need and less wind. I tend to think the west track is more likely which means more rain in PA/NJ and 60+ mph wind for NYC and east, which has also been the most common the last few years with these tropical/transitioning systems. If the Euro insists on it that much and now the GFS is trending to it, it’s likely more right.
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Long Beach made it to 79. Nice beach day on 11/7 lol.
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Wow, low 80s in much of Nassau. Even Long Beach up to 78. 77 at my place. And the lower humidity makes it feel awesome.
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Last bit of heating with the downslope W flow. Much of Nassau up to near 80 now.
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75 here. Feels like mid September.
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That day 10 looks frigid with the ridge spiking north into the Arctic Ocean. Hopefully as we end the month we can start some blocking.
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16" I believe in Long Beach. Was a very heavy wet snow. Only time I ever had thunder sleet which thankfully actually turned over to snow quickly. The height of it around midnight was absolutely incredible, must have been 3-4"/hr rate. The snow cover between then and the early Feb melt down was amazing too. That period from the 12/26/10 storm to that one was just as prolific as anything I've lived through.
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1/27/11? One of my all time fav's.
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I just moved to Texas before that one hit/didn’t hit so I was kinda bummed but nothing like the agony of watching 1/23/16 end up an all timer from there. Long Beach had 14-15” from Juno but probably 30” from Jonas.
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Dense pea soup this morning. Worst fog I’ve seen in quite a while.
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Down to 45. Quick drop on clear dry days like these.
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If we can pull off that ridge over the Bering Strait it would be great. That would be a very cold trough with that cross polar flow. How Nina winters do here is strongly correlated to how steep the Aleutian ridge is. Steeper is way better. Flat ridge means we’re flooded in Pacific air.
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Put the palm trees back out and shorts back on!! Hopefully we cool down in the second half of November and have at least one decent Dec snow event because as Don mentioned we’re likely doomed for winter if that doesn’t happen especially in a Nina which is typically front loaded.
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The transformers blowing up all night were like the Fourth of July. Long Beach where I lived at the time was obviously devastated beyond anything anyone’s ever seen there. My parents’ home was unlivable for about 3 months after being trashed (and they were lucky compared to others on our street). Plenty of wind damage too, part of a roof on a building on National Blvd blew away. Feet of sand pushed into the city, explosions/fires etc. So yeah, that was my #1 worst storm.
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Annoying how NOAA essentially takes the standard La Niña winter anomalies and releases that as their outlook again. Anyone should see the last few winters how much more’s going on than just ENSO.
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Hopefully many of the homes that weren’t outright devastated can be salvaged. Many homes that have mold or other interior damage or shifted off the foundation will have to be leveled unfortunately. And yes, until there’s a good way to clear the debris (and there will be way more than people can imagine) from these towns and the roads/bridges are back open, there won’t be much improvement.
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We lucked out in Nassau/W Suffolk in how the second offshore batch of rain came about due north vs more east. According to radar (which might be low) I had about 0.9”. Places east of me clearly had more.
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You can see the split screw happening for NYC and most of us-E Suffolk should get it pretty good. Oh well.
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And back down to 45 now. It’ll be an early fall foliage season for us that’s for sure.
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That’s cross polar flow so we’ll definitely be chilling down. Hope we can get that to happen for the winter. Likely our first 30s of the season coming for the north shore. Maybe frost if the wind calms down?
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Very nice event. But if this was winter the coast would’ve gone to rain. The low was cut off for so long it occluded and milder air, enough for rain would’ve wrapped in from the ocean after long enough.
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Not a total drought buster for the south shore but finally a good soaking. And even better since it rained slowly vs all at once. Desperately needed. Hopefully there can be some more.
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Up where I am now we maybe have 0.5” total (where rain isn’t needed), the south shore probably has 1-1.5” where it’s desperately needed. Rain finally starting to overcome the dry air here. Hopefully the wetter models are right.
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Good for NJ but pretty lame how the rain just disintegrates as it comes near LI. Hopefully that can change at least a little as the new coastal low gets going.
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Probably 1” in Long Beach on the extreme south shore so far, less further north where today’s rain has been lighter. Decent event. Hopefully Wed’s storm delivers as well.
