Met1985

Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Haywood- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, and Cove Creek 423 AM EST Sun Jan 2 2022 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Avery, Madison, Yancey, Mitchell and Haywood Counties. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to noon EST Monday.

Yeah easily in my opinion especially if this ramps up real fast. Someone is going to see 2 inches an hour somewhere.

Yeah that's what im thinking also.

Yeah this run looks fine for us still. The GFS has been very consistent with this.

Yeah I mean it could happen but we are like 36 hours from go time and no consistency from the NAM... Eff it.

Lol too much back and forth with the NAM. The GFS has been the most steady of any model so far.

The 18z NAM looks like a mess.

I think they don't put anything out until tomorrow morning but I could see wording like WSW for elevations above 3500 feet.

A step in the right direction.

The transition will be swift here in Haywood because of our elevation. I don't think we see any sleet at all.

After seeing the NAM and the GFS be pretty consistent I think we have a high likelihood that we see some sort of widespread snow even across the region. I do think the area for high snowfall say 4+ inches is pretty small but in saying that anything goes at this point.

We just watch and wait basically.

Yeah another great run for the area on the GFS.

Yeah the 12z NAM wobbled to the other side this run. I Still think the models are having a hard time nailing this down. Seems like the more upgrades the more issues with the models.

Nice to see you posting. Yeah this December has been crazy warm. Setting all time records and like you said the inversions this season have been numerous. Hopefully this cold snap will help but it looks to warm right back up after that though. Yeah I like where I sit. We will see but at least we will get a cold snap around here.

Euro back to being meh again.

Yeah a great run from the GFS.

Just shows me the NAM doesn't have a lock on this system. Too much back and forth.

Another step in the right direction.

Just watch the trends tonight through tomorrow. That will be telling.

Yeah this can go either way and for people who are in town this weekend because of New Years I'd say the majority Don't know how to drive in the snow or forgot.

Really this scenario could go 1 to 3 inches or full on 6 to 12 depending on how deep, how fast the cold air gets in her and how fast the storm moves through.

This is probably going to be a case of multiple wabbles with this system really from today all the way into Sunday possibly.

Was just fixing to say the GFS has come back around to a better solution for our region.

Yeah we are sitting in the best spot for whatever comes our way for sure.