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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. 00z gfs continues to say what snow. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  2. 00z nam. Definitely looking like a southern mountains hit according to the nam. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  3. 18z NAM 3k just for posterity Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  4. 18z gfs says no snow. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  5. I know! I really hope the NAM can actually catch this one and hold onto it.
  6. 18z NAM. Back on that good stuff. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  7. 12z nam backs way off. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  8. 06z gfs is pathetic lol. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  9. 3k NAM at 06z. A little better but that model has been way off this season... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  10. 06z nam. It's not backing down that's for sure. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  11. 00z nam. Pretty aggressive. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  12. Just saw where this January was the 6th warmest in record in Asheville...
  13. Was just looking at this very thing. Looks promising at a very close range.
  14. While west and middle Tennessee get a winter event our outlook is possible flooding with so much rain coming in. I have zero faith in any winter weather the first week of February at this point.
  15. At the current state we are looking at a ton of rainfall and not a snowstorm or any winter weather storm. We will see a glancing blow of cold air and that's it. The ensembles look meh and the operational models don't give any hope.
  16. Yeah I think you are right. I think it is definitely contributing to the volatility of the models. I mean I can't remember when we had such swings on all the models from run to run.
  17. You know I've been thinking us pretty much switching the enso state is causing the models to really go crazy. The signal is complex and off because of that. I think we are going to have a damn cold spring because if it also.
  18. Temp down to 24 already. Going to be mighty cold tonight. Also the gefs looks good from the 2nd on. Seems like we aren't punting this little chance for some winter weather currently... Am I optimistic? No. Am I pessimistic? No. I'm watching and waiting...
  19. Had a skiff of snow this morning with temps in the 30s all day. The forcing with this was never really there. Will be waiting for more rain this Sunday.
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