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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. Heck in my opinion if we get a widespread 3 to 4 inch snow then a lot of us will be happy the way this winter has gone.
  2. Haywood does great in these events. If you haven't noticed we have been in the bullseye for the mountain snow maps. Really all the mountains will do well I think.
  3. Again even after the main batch of moisture an upslope component will kick in and maybe squeeze out another inch or two also as the NAM is showing.
  4. Snow totals went up this run again with this latest model output.
  5. We are still solid at hour 51. A large swath of snow over the area.
  6. Hour 45 things are still progressing. More moisture breaking out across TN and the Carolinas. We still look good.
  7. On the latest NAM moisture starts to break out around 6 am Thursday.
  8. Also looking at the mid to long range EURO things really dont look bad at all.
  9. I think once the system gets east of the apps the Lee side may have a better flow.
  10. The leeside of the mountains are going to get downsloped big time the way the precipitation is coming in. It will drastically cut down totals.
  11. These overrunning type events we do very well with. If we can get the moisture in here we will get a decent snow. Im really liking the trend of the models this morning.
  12. Yeah this is the best run of the NAM for us. Very juiced up and nearly all snow. Also dont underestimate the upslope snow behind the system if if hits us just right. It will dump all that moisture on the favored areas behind the system.
  13. The 12z NAM is holding serve. Kind of starts out as a mix but quickly turns to all snow. The precipitation is much further north this run also. It really blossoms out once it gets in here.
  14. Yeah great discussion guys. This is why I love this group and why I said yesterday that my excitement would be tempered until 18z today. We are getting into the time frame where the short range models should really be picking this up especially the multiple waves as Ward was talking about. Obviously having the EURO on board is huge but we are seeing multiple models come in with snowy solutions for us and currently that just cannot be discounted.
  15. Yeah it may not be handling the wave right but it could be onto something also. But I like that the NAM and GFS are in the same camp. Remember the models didnt handle the last little snow that well except the NAM...
  16. Both the NAM and GFS look good for our snow chances. Today will be very telling with the models. We are off to a good start so far.
  17. I like your optimism but this winter has been crap and anything can happen lol. But currently id say a 3 to 6 inch storm is not out of the question but that is all speculation at this point. Lets get through another 24 hours and see about this thing .
  18. The 00z NAM still looking good for us. Still though a lot can happen. Ill feel a lot better at 18z tomorrow if we are still in the drivers seat.
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