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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. The GFS is really hammering the mountains. Very heavy snow breaking out around hour 30 and especially around hour 36... Probably some thundersnow.
  2. The NAM looks odd. Too much jumping around with the low run to run in my opinion...
  3. Don't post. I'd step away until tomorrow morning from the models or just wait until the GFS and Euro run.
  4. Yeah we don't live nor die by one model run. The top dog models have been stellar these past several days. Hold steady gents. There is a thing as too much model watching. You'll make yourself go crazy.
  5. I don't really believe there will be a changeover to sleet or freezing rain in the mountains at the height of the precipitation. Call me a weenie but it just doesn't look right to me.
  6. Temp down to 26. Ground temps ain't going to be a problem.
  7. Yep just what I alluded to. I've seen these bands in the past give an extra 4 to 8 inches that wasn't even forecast.
  8. Also we are seeing a better setup of NW flow behind the storm with bitter cold temps flowing in. Don't be surprised to see warnings kept up long for the border counties...
  9. One thing that seems off about some of the model runs is that it shows heavy snow to heavy freezing rain from one frame to another back to heavy snow. To me that is off and that is telling me there is some feedback issues with the surface to precipitation outputs. Not that im worried but I think this is a flaw in the models with this system....
  10. Meh we will just see how things work out. Im not too worried at all. Just interesting that's all. These storms have a mind of there own.
  11. NWS only looking at 5 to 11 inches for around my area but im not worried. Shoot ill take a few inches and be good
  12. You cannot get no more consistent than what the EURO and the GFS has been the past several days. Impressive for sure.
  13. Great discussion guys. Yall make me proud. Everything still looks really good.
  14. It's going to have to beat the EURO and GFS which I don't think it will. Those two models have been locked in.
  15. Was just going to post the 18z was another crush job.
  16. Lol everyone puts every storm up against 93. I mean most of the civilians who are mostly interested in a once in a lifetime storm.
  17. No real big changes to the GFS. Very similar to the 12z.
  18. Yeah this is very strong wording from them. Also these totals will probably go up by 2 to 4 inches also before all said and done.
  19. This is as aggressive as I've seen GSP in a long time with a watch.
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