Amped
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Everything posted by Amped
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Euro is really really doesn't want to let the southern stream take on a negative tilt. It could have started phasing in the MS valley instead of over the Bahamas, but the southern stream keeps moving southeast and stays positively tilted.
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The cmc has like 5 different surface low centers off the coast on the 22nd.
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GGEM going to nail the florida keys at 240.
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Need a bit more northern stream. Usually the troff is riding the 546dm or 552dm contour in the plains when we get a hecs. This one is on the 558
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Produces a very similar snow shield. The FEB 2010 storm had a 50/50 low much further west, and the ridge didn't fold over into the lakes like that. I'd give this one a more 2016/ 1983 hybrid look. It would easily close off H5 and match 2016 if the kicker was 12 hrs slower.
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This thing really fizzled. Big win for DR NO and dry air. Some models from last night had warning criteria snow in a few spots. Now we're down to "Oh look flakes"
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Thats a pretty good impression of the February 22 1987 storm on the GFS
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Kind of an odd wind trajectory. We had a storm like this in December 2013. It was rain for a lot of the metro area although the northwestern folks got snow.
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CMC has a stronger high north of the lakes than any other model. Looks like the GFS from a few days ago.
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Primary hangs on longer. Weaker baroclinic zone behind the storm. Accumulating snow will be further north.
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I lost interest once it got rid of the high behind the storm. Now it's just a big hot mess.
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Pretty good agreement between the GFS CMC and Icon at 144hrs
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Im impressed that a monster bowling ball actually loses latitude between the plains and the east coast. Think of what could have been if it started weaker and further south.
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Impressive to get a 980MB low over Nebraska to reform off of Atlantic City like that and bring snow to the NW burbs of NYC and PHL Don't think I've ever seen anything similar happen
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Lol 18z GFS. Blizzard for Philly at 198hrs. Somehow it MillerBs that strong low over the Midwest. Kind of a December 2003 setup. 960mb low over Marthas Vinyard at 210.
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Imagine if there was a bulls ass that could talk, and screamed "Hey everyone look at me" every 2 minutes. You think people would catch on and stop falling for it after 70+ years but apparently sometimes they don't.
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I hope a hurricane permanently stalls off the coast so we can hallucinate on which way it's moving 365 days a year.
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Somebody smash the HMON and the HWRF now. Their track outputs are not supposed to be taken seriously.
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TV Mets are going to have to start calling "the eye" of the Dorian "The Pupil" so they don't confuse the public.
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Freeport, spends 24hrs in the eye on the Euro. Plenty of buildings to destroy there, I don't know how well built they are, but they are going to need to hold up to CAT 4/5
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As long as the 3km NAM agrees
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After the performance over the past 24hrs, I think every model and every ensemble member should should be completely tossed.
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You rarely see this many discrete cells anywhere in the Northeast or mid Atlantic.
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I was kidding
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I feel bad for those 3 counties in PA not included in the TW.
