andyhb

Significant damage reported in Fairhaven WV from that tornado WNW of Pittsburgh earlier that had a 62.5 dBZ debris ball at one point on reflectivity.

Greenville OH is in a bad situation right now.

Pretty sure that TORE is for a signature in clear air/sidelobe contamination.

Large tornado moving into Portage.

Sig tor looks imminent on the Centreville MI cell.

TDS on the supercell near Dowagiac MI, heading up in the direction of K'zoo and Portage.

I think the extent of the tree damage probably pushed them over the threshold for EF4. That stuff was high end, especially just NE of town.

Barnsdall rated EF4.

Also that Terre Haute cell is heading on a line for Indianapolis later and already has a strong meso.

85 kts of 0-6 km shear on the Fort Wayne VAD right now.

Pretty nasty environment near the warm front in N IN right now.

Today and tomorrow look pretty volatile across a fairly large expanse of real estate. Indiana today seems like the best bet for chasing, good recovery going on in behind the earlier line of storms plus winds are staying more backed than the RAP was indicating.

Just going to point out that 9 times out of 10 when you see an MRMS rotation track map like this, you'd be wondering "was that a high risk" or something like that. I believe the processes that happened to cause N/W OK and S KS to underperform occurred on timescales shorter than outlook forecasts are meant to cover. To put it in simpler terms, the high risk was warranted, but it was death by a thousand paper cuts storm morphology wise. That Hennessey OK storm would've dropped an absolutely monstrous tornado had it not been seeded by the storm in behind, resulting in too much precip in the RFD. Other storms looked reasonable early and at one point we had a string of 4-5 discrete/semi-discrete supercells -> i.e. the incipient states of a tornado outbreak, but it seems they took just ever so slightly (perhaps less than an hour) too long to reach the really high theta-e air that was closer to I-40 and, say, US 281. Also the storms that formed in SW OK later were dealing with veered winds near the Pacific cold front and probably were having difficulty not being undercut by the same front. Had they propagated slightly off the front -> yikes.

That is a terrifying image.

2 fatalities in Barnsdall per scanner.

That Barnsdall tornado is high end.

Great contribution. I don't know if you want to see the results of a non-linear solution in the parameter space being suggested here.

Major tornado south of Robert Lee now. 70 kt VROT.

Large cone tornado near Robert Lee TX on Reed's live stream.

That tornado was ridiculous, and also caused significant damage.

Tornado looks imminent heading towards Abilene.

Good lord.

Also on Freddy McKinney's live stream. 6 of the last 7 days have had tornadoes now.

Tornado in progress on the Anson TX supercell and there was one earlier near Ballinger as well.