buckeye

It's not gonna be just the usual kick in the nutz....it's gonna be a kick in the nutz with steel toe boots thanks to all these teaser 70+ degree days we've been getting.

It's gonna be hell for @michsnowfreak as they transition to CMH climo OTOH I'm looking forward to Nashville climo setting in here . Btw, I admit I'm jel over whomever gets the 6 hr thumping the models seem to be throwing out there, strictly because I like extreme snowfall rates. But I'm only jel of that window of time. Other than that you can keep the 40s and slop fest following the thump.

We’re having an early summers evening thunderstorm

That was like a January storm, it actually stayed very cold for quite awhile. Truly the exception. That and 1993 , but we were only fringed by that one.

Well at least we weren't the only ones with a brutal February futility record....so there's that I guess. Also JB is banging the "one of the coldest March's on record" bongos, so there's that To me, and maybe it's my age, but what's worse then the lack of snow is winter dragging it's weak ass into march and April giving us below normal temps and periodic white rain....YET AGAIN

One hell of an impressive nw trend with this one. Reminds me of the old'n days when at 7 days out it's crushing DC, 5 days out CMH, 4 days out Detroit, and now who knows.

Tornado sirens blaring….probably gonna happen again with the next storm. Crazy wx

This one is a tough one. Lots of moving parts including the storm coming thru the lakes tomorrow and the lead wave later in the week. There’s also the placement and timing of the pieces to the north that will determine how much the ser can be kept in check or allowed to pump. The bad news for us folks in the southern flanks of the forum is the gfs wants to bring this too far north for us, the good news is most of the other globals are at a perfect track. The winner stripe is going to have a huge prize but it’ll be narrow. Either way I’d rather roll the dice with a powerful storm and risk the wtod vs. left hoping for a strung out weaker storm and smaller prize….especially this time of year. Go big or go home

euro laughs at gfs has a strung out southern POS before the next cutter develops. Gonna be hard to get cold into the game when there's no high pressure in Canada, only a bunch of LPs dancing all around.

i have my usual 3 month subscription that I'll end in March. Kinda embarrassed to admit

12z gfs fits my collage nicely

God love 'em. 4 months and hundreds and hundreds of pages on tracking and analyzing models and potential snow.... and .4" to show for it.

FYI...this is not meant for snow

Sucky winter but definitely not our worst ever. In fact I often judge a winter by whether there were any memorable events. I will always remember that insane front centered on Xmas eve. -8 at 1pm in the afternoon on Xmas eve. I have not seen that kind of cold during the day since the infamous Jan 94. Almost 30 years. We’ve had many winters where we hit avg or even above snowfall without a single event to remember them by. Also we had a white Xmas, we ended up scoring the most synoptic with that event in the forum outside les. We also got a nice over performer (while I was on vacation). We’ve had bigger ratters then this…by far.

clouds will small breaks, low 50's, damp.

Appropriately shaded sh*t brown…only thing missing is the squatting big dog

We still get them... it's just that they are now drippers instead of clippers.

53 this morning….loving it! Tomorrow we have an enhanced severe threat. Feb is definitely rock’n!

Does @hardypalmguy get complimentary breakfast with that free rent in your head?

and it’s not like we’re south of you either…

he said he nailed it at 10mb

Ahhh yes, the sswe, aka the last vestige of a weenie

Officially hit 70 today at the airport. Impressive. by the way, @michsnowfreak , the first step is acceptance.

first high wind warning that actually was warranted here. The steel and glass door to my office just blew open....scared the crap out of me.

This is an example from the 12z gfs. It seems with storms this winter, the cold sector precip shield almost always has rain outside the heaviest precip band, (even on the nw flanks). I don't recall seeing this in past winters on models, at least no where near as prevalent.