buckeye

Never underestimate the ability for CMH to pile up enough March and April car-toppers and single-day-slush-melts to bring us up to average leaving us scratching our heads wondering how the hell we got there. BTW, looks like it's gonna be a bit breezy tomorrow.

the only 2 hours that it was cloudy at least had rainbow with it

ugh, from 84 degrees, blue skies, soft breeze, and sipping away my days with mojitos and rum and cokes....to this craptastic 35 degrees, gray, and slushy slop piles. Well at least I have a nice tan lol. Next week kinda looks interesting depending on where that boundary settles in... icestorm anyone?

thanks! 6 days of 'forget about life for awhile'. Coming back to snow or something to track would take the edge off returning to our usual depressing climo. So let's see what you guys can do to make that happen . Maybe find where Josh's magnet went, clearly he's misplaced it.

My snowblower is still sitting in the back of the garage with a flat tire. The thing is a monster, more suitable for Buffalo then CMH but I got it super cheap brand new, ($168.00 a couple of summers ago). I was going to pull it out for the xmas eve snow but it was too damn cold and snow was like dry sand anyways. I'm heading for the carribean for a short vacation...hopefully something delivers on Sunday so I come back to snow followed by another storm on our doorstep later in the week. Truth be told, I'm worried next week's snow and turn to cold might be another headfake....just another batch of weakening lows and cold starved systems....hope not. The gfs is a dumpster fire but the euro is

Nothing like a late March/ early April trash storm in the heart of winter.

Interesting. I live in Central Ohio and late afternoon on the 23rd, after we had received 4.5" of snow, the temp was -8 and the windchill was in the stupid range. My wife was in the kitchen and I heard her scream. She said she opened the basement door and there was a 'big bird' in the stairwell. After getting the nerve to investigate, (yea i admit I'm not a fan of birds, bats, etc.), I went down in the basement and there was like 8 of them perched on the water pipes and flying around. They weren't small birds either. We have glass block basement windows but thankfully I can open a small section in each window. We blocked all the light in the basement except for one window and managed to scare and shoo them out one at a time. I've lived in this house for nearly 30 years and we've never had a bird in the house. I have no idea how they got in....which is the worst part of this. Best I can assume is they came in through the chimney and possibly in opening somewhere inside the wall or chimney itself. However they got in, it was pure desperation and survival on their part.

eerily still. Windows frosted over. Now it looks like we don’t break 0 degrees today

Wow we did better then expected, maybe like 4”? All calm fresh powder. -4. Ready for the ground blizzard

I went out a little earlier, it's a steady heavy mist/drizzle, low clouds, dismal and in the 40's. Kinda reminds me of that benign afternoon of Wednesday January 25th, 1978. In all seriousness I do think we are looking a little better here in central OH. It seems there's been a slight trend east with everything and I've seen some short model runs that give us more precip then places west. Not saying it's going to be heavy snow but I think we have a better shot of 3" + then it looked like yesterday.

My sister and brother-in-law built a new house east of lakewood, OH. The back of their house is about 70' from the shoreline of lake erie. Needless to say the house will be tested tomorrow

well all that's left is to fire up the radar and the meso models, kick back a few and make sure I'm up at 2am to watch this front come thru. Media is calling this a "once in a generation weather front"....may it live up to the hype and bring us more surprise then disappointment

This might be the first time no one has been nam'd during a forecast cycle leading to a storm. Fully expected that at some point it would be showing a 950 low over cleveland

that screw zone through central OH has been showing up to some degree or another on several models. I realize that is the infamous "scioto river valley" that can screw us by trapping in warm air or helping to funnel in warm tongues but neither of those should be an issue with this set up. Oh well, with strong winds out of the nw maybe we can steal some snow from the Findlay area. I'm going with 1-12" and I realize measuring will be virtually impossible so you'll just have to trust me when I report my final obs

Voice of reason…/\

Shape of trough, speed of front, where/when do the low(s) develop on it, how do all the pieces of energy interact. Give it 24 hours.

meh, it's been awhile since we've had a good ole fashioned asphalt blizzard.

sorry for the weenie blasphemy, (and maybe it's just my age), but /\ that's going to feel sooo good

I can definitely agree with that. The wind factor is a big question mark. A handle on that won't be known until the system is getting underway.

The gfs actually came in a bit stronger . Honestly though, I wouldn't even be looking at snowfall maps until later tomorrow. There are so many nuances with exact track, synoptic changeover time, localized squalls, etc. Still, if we were staring down the barrel of our usual central OH xmas, (brown and 40 degrees), we'd be begging for something like this. Wasn't last year when we had the xmas eve 4 incher?

so one of the trends I've seen in the last couple of model runs is for the trough to be less sharp, more broad. This is good and bad for us. Good because the cold comes in faster but weaker system. Hope it's just a glitch otherwise this is a strong arctic frontal passage for all of us.

If you asked me what the best place to be right now, (outside of lake influenced areas or far nw), I'm not sure I could pinpoint it. That's what's crazy about this scenario. If you're directly north or northeast of it you get rain wrapping in as it starts to bomb, if you're directly west of it, you run the risk of the dryslot. I guess it's always best to be in closer proximity of the low itself but that's about all you can say. Either way we should see squalls, wind, and even a short period of lake effect with the trajectory of the low....not including whatever synoptic happens. Lots of localized winners and losers with this one. Interesting for sure!

2” in Westerville? Seems low. I don’t recall much snow on the ground left by evening after a day of fog drizzle and mild temps…and any snow that was already on the ground would have turned to glacier when we had the flash freeze and would not have been an issue in blowing and drifting. So essentially that would mean 2” of fresh snow paralyzed a city for a week and made travel impossible without a snowmobile.

typical historic trends and climo are for typical storms....this is not going to be a typical storm. I don't know whether the current track holds or it goes west or it goes east....nor does anyone else. I suppose this might be classified as a manitoba mauler?? If fail happens, (meaning getting the snowfall shaft), it won't be because of a warm tongue, it'll be a dryslot that screws someone. Sure there'll be rain ahead of the storm but models often underestimate how quickly the temps crash with such a dynamic system. This is not the type of system where we'll be waiting endlessly for sleet and rain to turn to snow, it'll be rain...bang...snow and wind. Whether we get 3" or a foot it's going to be a fun one. The blizzard of 78 only dropped 6 or 7 inches in a very short time and that closed the city for a week and was the deadliest and costliest winterstorm in our history. Let's not offend mother nature by complaining about dendrite growth due to high winds . Let's jus get a memorable xmas eve snowstorm that we can tell our grandkids about. Besides, I have my first grandchild due xmas day! Going to be a fun week. ' ' '

126 hr gefs…. Not exactly a set in stone track. Very dynamic system and doubtful exact track is nailed down outside of 72 hrs. Whatever happens this is a fun one to track.