Jump to content

buckeye

Members
  • Posts

    8,653
  • Joined

Everything posted by buckeye

  1. icon, but gem is similar, a little less extreme
  2. I wonder if the gfs still has a bias for being too far east
  3. looks like the trough out west is trending more west on the models. The gfs is still digging and resulting in a coastal track while the canadian and icon are driving the ull much further north and sending one hell of an arctic front through. We need a combination of the gfs and the gem. Although I wouldn't mind an icon solution. Thunder and driving rain changing immediately to heavy snow, wind, and flash freeze to single digits would be fun....even if it only lasts an hour.
  4. Forget about it…. DT saw the 12z gfs and is barking like a rabid dog. This is not just a coastal but a BFD (his words), and he’s even cutting a special vid. Any future runs showing a further nw solution will be deemed as defying physics and you will be instructed to ignore.
  5. With the ostracisation and subsequent disappearance of Hoosier, I was concerned over who would pick up the sub's drought monitoring duties. Looks like Alek has it handled.
  6. It’s basically what we do. Why else come here? also ukmet looks like it would go in a completely different direction with the pna ridge offf shore and trough much further west…. That would probably be Chicago special.
  7. definitely a thread the needle...but when aren't they? options 1. strung out fast moving northern stream sends a run-of-the-mill cold front (gfs 6z) 2. potent northern stream digs to TN valley and sets up a coastal and we are in the donut-hole smoking cirrus 3. something in between, (euro) At least it appears there won't be precip-type issues. Even if someone starts as rain it would be a quick turnover.
  8. me too.... that's a hell of a Merry Christmas courtesy of the folks up north
  9. I've never seen 500 maps as crazy as they've been. Everything is fast moving and blocky at the same time. If you do model run comparisons beyond 120 hours, the changes and differences are night and day run to run.. Gotta be a nightmare for forecasters.
  10. Me too. My body doesn't handle cold like it use to. Every winter I start to understand more and more why people move south after retirement. Of course I still love a good snow if I'm going to be in this climo anyways.
  11. We will challenge our record today which was previously set Nov 6 1977. Therefore my official winter analog is 77-78
  12. so no mod this winter and the Ohio crowd has yet to self-quarantine.... Juice up the storm track and it's gonna be thunderdome in here.
  13. 43 pages in their winter spec thread. I suspect they'll be cancelling winter by next week.
  14. better yet. GFS says we, (central ohio), after tomorrow, don't go sub 40 for the next 16 days. Absolutely love warm dry Novembers.
  15. - latest measurable snowfall? - least snowfall? - both? due to CAD or WAW?
  16. March 8,9 2008 TWO MONTHS EARLIER In general I like snowstorms between the window of xmas and the end of January. I also favor duration over intensity. I recall an upper low that parked itself over the area back in the mid 90's that produced steady light snow over the entire weekend and we ended up with 9" by Sunday evening. I also like a well-forecasted snowstorm that locks in 4 days out, (a true rarity in CMH where we ride the razor's edge with every storm).
  17. SR and meso's really sucking on placement of storms and heavy rain, (at least over the eastern part of the sub and OV).
  18. I wish there was a way we could punish volcanos for their utter disregard of the enviornment.
×
×
  • Create New...