buckeye

slop/snow line.... as it sinks southeast that moisture down in TN should skirt along with it moving northeast and there should be a nice zone of snow setting up nearby.

not picking on you guys....i totally get the frustration.

thank you back in the old'n days of posting they would ban posters who would make posts that were all whines and woe- is-me and who cancelled the storm in the first quarter. I mean I get it, I love snow too and yes I would be disappointed if 90% fell as sleet but nothing we can do about it and all the ranting and complaining ain't gonna change that. This is a dynamic set up, yes, it could turn into sleetfest '22 for some including me, or we could get sleet followed by a really nice thump, (which I think is more likely). But I'll sit back, watch it unfold and let the weather do it's thing.

just checked the cameras at my office in lewis center and still very light there too

you're in dublin right? One thing that has surprised me so far is how light the sleet has been here.

this is the latest hrrr, it's the 18hr panel, (5am), that's 16 hrs from now. None of us know for sure what the sleet to snow ratio is going to end up. Feb sleet storm was always on the table but so is a nice snow storm. More likely a combination that would make us happy to have any other time. Relax and enjoy the tracking, otherwise why the hell are we here. x I

you're where the red dot is, we got a little time

thanks, let us know if we need a helmet or a shovel

Toledo is reporting haze and 23. I wanted to see if the radar was true what it was showing and it apparently is. Looks like the precip is having a tough time getting into nw ohio and northern/northeastern IN. Looks like it's hitting dry air. Might be good sign for us https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-OH_RV-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

actually a pretty pultry sleet storm for here all morning. At least it's not pounding sleet, so I don't feel like I'm losing a ton of qpf to sleet. The precip along the ohio river moving towards cincy is what to look out for.

Definitely can see the push of cold dry air across IL and nw IN. Best precip still well sw of us. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-OH_RV-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

I think back to some of our classic busts due to more mix and less snow then forecast, it seems many started out as a brief period of snow that transitioned to sleet. We are going through a slow transition of rain to frz rain to sleet and now we wait for snow.

pessimism is easy....optimism takes sack, (especially when it comes to winter storms in CMH)

I'm way more optimistic then some of you. Even if it's early afternoon before all snow, the snow should be falling at a good rate an base of ice and sleet. Also, the nam and some other models are beginning to show a longer duration with more energy lagging on the tail end. patience grasshoppers

Thank god you guys aren't ER doctors

currently but not necessarily accurate. I'm just north of where it says westerville

Light sleet light freezing rain. Opened front door and sounds like a giant bowl of rice krispies.

How's that been trending?

Manitoba Mauler?

I'll be sleeping very lightly with my radar handy on my phone and this forum open. Looks like timeline is between 1 and 4 am for the change from liquid to frozen, then the million dollar question is when the frozen turns to flakes. I've seen some models have it as early as 5am and of course we have the rgem that really never changes over to all snow until evening. If it's snowing at 6am, we'll be in very good shape.

same, just doesn't want to change to snow....perpetual sleet/frz rain. Rgem is usually a decent short range model but can definitely have a warm bias in the very near term....hoping that's the issue

I still feel pretty good but I'd feel better if the rgem starts to play ball at 00z

As we get closer they widen the uncertainty, maybe they should go 1-8 and give themselves a 90% chance of hitting the mark.

that's terrible. Thanks for the update, I had a hunch it was covid and maybe they were removed from the ventilators at the same time.