Radtechwxman
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Everything posted by Radtechwxman
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06z euro a little drier. Wonder if it will be like last system where after it occludes deformation zone starts to lose steam.
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Euro still not wanting to play nice for areas further south like other globals. Crush job for Chicago and N IL of course. Man this one hurts. That track on euro looks so good for here normally. Hoping maybe that warm nose won't get that west.
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Feel like rap/hrrr will continue to nudge se closer to guidance like last event
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Gfs is remarkably consistent compared to the other models
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Team gfs and rgem till the end. Ride or die
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I certainly had higher hopes for this pattern but should have known the feet of snow was too good to be true. Ha.
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This track looks very close to what GFS is showing
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Euro so close to having me in better accumulations. I'm like riding the mixing line. Definitely going to miss the heaviest swath but would be nice to get high end advisory snow or low end warning criteria at least.
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I guess only good thing is my expectations are rock bottom now so anything at this point will seem like a win. Lol
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Hard to ignore gfs consistency. But wish it had some support for higher snow totals further south.
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You and me both. Still holding a sliver of hope for maybe a front end thump and some decent back end snows. But unfortunately rain in between looks very likely.
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I like your optimism but I'm highly skeptical unfortunately
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I would love that as well. Grasping for straws here. Ha
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ILX went watches for their extreme north. Really wish gfs could be right.
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Well this is depressing. Lol. I can't say I was expecting mostly a rainer from this one. Congrats Chicago peeps....
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Hrrr and nam on the same drugs apparently
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If you're trusting hrrr at this range the joke will be on you. Lol. It did terrible at this range with previous system.
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Guessing you meant 970s bomb. Lol. 907s and rain would really be something in Jan. Ha
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18z hrrr real special. Explosive deepening and says hello rain for a good chunk of us
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I'm north of the Peoria metro area. Seem to start as snow Thurs night then mix into afternoon Fri and changeover to snow on back end of deformation zone. It has mixing line close to river again. Could be close call here. Team gfs. Ha
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For whatever reason gfs seems to be only model keeping thermals under check here but everything else is a blast furnace. I truly hate El Nino winters. Lol
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This one is starting to look like a dud here. Still crazy how this one tracks further south than first storm and I end up with less snow and more rain. This system seems to really pull up a big slug of warm air compared to the other. Hoping it can trend cooler aloft as we get closer but not hopeful.
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Crazy how close we are to event and still so much spread. Was thinking sampling this morning would be helpful for models. I was wrong. Lol. I'm not sure what to expect.
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GEFS seems pretty north
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12z gfs takes a very similar track to what the prior storm just did. Not quite as aggressive with warm surge as other models.
