Radtechwxman

Live and die by the GFS. Lol

Euro solution is definitely more of a downer. Still a good event with high winds and some decent snow here but really miss out on all the wraparound snow as the low occludes too ne of me so totals are significantly less than gfs obviously. I knew gfs solution was likely not to occur but definitely was hoping to see euro bump towards that a bit at least with the low occluding more nw to cash in on deformation band more. Still time for small details to work out. I bet nam will have a real humdinger of a storm. Lol

Euro still occluding the low mostly over MI versus much further nw over IN/IL like GFS. Euro has been very consistent with this so probably trust it more as much as I would love goofus to be right with blizzard of the century. Ha.

Well that's even more depressing. Lol. But you're probably right with those flakes getting shredded. Hopefully can get some more qpf involved or get in on 1st wave or wraparound.

Nice snow dome right over me. Ha. Peoria dome lives on. On euro miss that initial wave north and don't get the wrap around as the low occluded.

If 0z euro jumps se that will definitely be alarming considering its been pretty consistent for several runs. But nothing would shock me at this point. Ha

Okay thanks for that useful post

I see that. Sigh. Obviously plenty can change still. But why I haven't got excited or too invested in this yet.

0z gfs continues to hold firm on its more eastern solution. Going to be a gfs vs euro showdown again. Obviously can't believe anything at this range because it's all fair game until we get adequate sampling of the pieces in play.

Definitely hard to ignore the consistency of the OP euro. Definitely far from set in stone but it's more trustworthy than OP gfs which is still wobbling quite a bit run to run. Would love to see some EPS stuff!

Man I miss the days of AccuWeather forums. Those were the good ol' days though I have really grown to love this forum with a lot of amazing professional input and discussion. I learn a lot. I actually remember that one. That was a fun one to watch unfold.

I'm not excited yet because there's too many moving pieces and a lot that can go wrong. Still worried gfs could be right with a further south and east track. Really won't know for a few more days till we get sampling of upper data and see how this 1st wave evolves Mon.

You're not lying. Def trust hrrr more than nam. Really hoping euro has this one slam dunked. Gfs solution would just suck. Lol. So close yet so far away.

That would be par for the course for here. Good ol central IL doughnut hole

I see 18z gfs is continuing to gfs. I'm eager to see this in nam's range in a few days.

It's called sarcasm but compared to euro it's like a dusting. Ha

I'm sure they are having nuclear meltdowns like they often do. Lol. At least we can handle a miss and defeat even though it sucks. We watch them get nor'easters constantly. I remember same thing happened with GHD I. I think one model hung on to coastal storm while everything else was a GLC and they were fuming.

And gfs the polar opposite, dusting for all. Lol

Gfs still continues to be a stubborn mule but has a robust clipper come in behind the bigger storm on Xmas Eve

If only we could lock that in now and this was only a few days out

I'm still very happy with 0z euro compared to 12z run. Incredible bombing low albeit further ENE this run. Hoping an east trend won't commence with the cut. I like where it is.

I wouldn't put much stock into any one solution right now esp the GFS

I think we did but can't remember if it was gfs caving to euro or euro caving to gfs. Probably the latter

I never knew that, thanks for that info. Definitely eager to see how this evolves over the coming days. I wonder if euro will hold firm or will cave to a gfs like solution with a coastal storm and only a glancing blow here from northern stream energy.

Gfs being stubborn. Clipper like system to nor'easter transition. It's not wanting to do a GLC. Either it will be the lone model right or completely wrong.