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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Radtechwxman
    If I remember right you're right by me. Lol. But yea typically flash flood watch + winter storm watch don't pan out well for winter weather. Best icing definitely to my northwest and same with snow. Meh. When gfs is your best outcome you know you're screwed
  2. Radtechwxman
    Right?! Meanwhile I'm like inches of cold rain with minimal ice and snow. Joy
  3. Radtechwxman
    So close. Ugh. Need the slightest se shift. Probably going to end up seeing mostly rain here. What a waste of a dynamic system
  4. Radtechwxman
    0z euro very amped. Has heaviest snow axis pretty much out of IL
  5. Radtechwxman
    Good ol medium range model chaos. Lol. Probably going to see a lot of wild swings till we get sampling Thurs
  6. Radtechwxman
    Literally was just discussing this with a buddy. Temps very marginal for a good icing event and ground is pretty mild to start. Snow will likely be slop fest to with low ratios. We need some good quality cold air
  7. Radtechwxman
    Yea GFS is all about the ice. Curious how much of that is sleet vs freezing rain. Definitely a northern shift in wintry precip on gfs today
  8. Radtechwxman
    I wish the Canadian could be right. Lol. Looks like 1-2in here. In the words of Ariana Grande "thank you next"
  9. Radtechwxman
    Curious if we will see any last second shifts with sampling finally occurring tonight and tomorrow
  10. Radtechwxman
    This thread died as fast as it started. Lol
  11. Radtechwxman
    Seemed like the snow swath was further south. But maybe just a narrower band and sharper north cutoff. Starting to feel it will be lucky if this snow even makes it to I74. Sometimes these frontogenic bands can really be thread the needle. Deformation band looks to clip here possibly
  12. Radtechwxman
    Wouldn't that lead to a further north scenario typically? Seems like it ended up more south. But it also has that high pressure really nudging south
  13. Radtechwxman
    12z nam coming in south. Pretty much stopping snow band at I72. At least for the WAA snow
  14. Radtechwxman
    Yea 18z nam looks good for a good portion of this forum. Nice WAA band. Curious to see if 18z gfs nudges north. 3km nam and 12km nam both looked nice
  15. Radtechwxman
    He's saying it is underdoing the cold sector precip. Based on how it evolved it should be throwing more qpf into the cold side
  16. Radtechwxman
    Gfs more north compared to last night's run but definitely further south than it's been the last several days. Nam a bit further north than gfs
  17. Radtechwxman
    Comical. Gfs trended toward how euro had been and now euro trended a step toward how gfs had been
  18. Radtechwxman
    I'm sure the 1st of many model shifts we will see. I think gfs is probably too north and bullish and euro is too south and stingy. Not surprising to see gfs cave somewhat. Still not as bad as euro but definitely a step in the wrong direction
  19. Radtechwxman
    Storm mode is my main concern. Looks like things could grow upscale fast with strong forcing and high instability. I haven't looked to see how strong the capping is
  20. Radtechwxman
    Very well said. Pretty abnormal to see upper levels winds like that this south in late June. The instability/shear combo is impressive esp in southern KS on Sun. But the strong forcing makes me think you could see a lot of storms fire and get messy quick. But man if anything can stay discrete it will be tornadofest. OFB Sat in OK could get interesting
  21. Radtechwxman
    Right. I'm shocked. I can't chase but still like discussing the threat
  22. Radtechwxman
    This thread is anomalously quiet for the weekend severe potential
  23. Radtechwxman
    I just figured it out. My apologies. Was kinda confusing at first. I'm new to the site. But it has a bar up top showing the progress and shows the run at the bottom. I swear I'm not an idiot. Just had a blonde moment. Lol
  24. Radtechwxman
    Then why in the corner does it say 12z Thurs current run?? Where it says valid 0z Thurs is actually the time frame I'm looking at. Wed night
  25. Radtechwxman
    Hopefully won't get in trouble for posting this. Winds aloft not looking as westerly as before. Jet has more amplitude this time around and not as flat
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