Radtechwxman
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Everything posted by Radtechwxman
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At this point I will just be happy if I don't see rain which is looking increasingly likely
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My exact feelings tonight
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It usually starts running by midnight. I'm guessing it is going to cave and follow tonight's trends
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Seems like the IL-WI border is the spot on models tonight. That would really hurt a lot of us in this forum
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I'm not expecting much at this point given current trends. But one can be hopeful. 12z euro had like 3in here. Some other models gave a few inches with the snow associated with the cf. So at this time I think 1-3in is possible. I already acknowledged earlier that I80 north would be my best guess for jackpot zone
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At least it stopped shifting north let's start a south trend! Ha
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Agreed. That was a strange run. Curious to see other guidance now. Nam was definitely very amped with surface low. One thing I did notice was it had less rain and more frozen precip for my area
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What exactly is causing more emphasis on that portion versus the S/SW side?
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Cyclone you need to share the love. You have cashed in on almost every storm. Lol
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WPC sure isn't wanting to buy the northern shift yet. Track looks similar to Euro
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Stop raining on my parade. Ha. I mean I know it is slim to none but let me live in denial a while
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I'm not throwing the towel in yet. Want to see adequate sampling of everything. Current trends are bad but as we seen this winter last second shifts are possible. Wouldn't take much of one to get me back in the game
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For heaviest snow yes. But can't disregard some decent accumulations possible though
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Nam moved the heaviest snow swath even further north. Has consolation heavy band behind cf further south
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Yea I'm not buying a track this north at all. I truly think the baroclinic zone will be further south. Hopefully in the coming days models will correct south
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Well my bad. Guess I didn't pay enough attention to that. You think we will see a south trend with this as we get closer?
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From what I heard the UKMET has a terrible track record. It did awful with the last storm
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This was actually just updated at 1028pm. But they're still keeping theirs closer to what Euro showed. If it moved due east from that position it will definitely be south of where gfs/nam track it east
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True. Didn't think of that. Wpc has it turn east further south on their map. Closer to I72 versus I80 on gfs
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Yea I noticed that. I get a front end thump on gfs and then rain and then back to snow I think thermals may be overdone given where this system is originating and the fact there isn't a lot of warm air near it to pull north. But it does have a robust llj so that could do it
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To me the track should keep going se along the baroclinic zone. It's like right before it gets into IL it turns east. It's weird. It taking that more easterly turn always the "warmer" air south to creep more north
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Yea still too early 0z nam had a track similar to 18z gfs. But gfs has been all over the place and that's nam's long range so not really reliable at this point
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I think you will regret that instantly. Try for a polar plunge or a snow angel. Lol. I'm definitely going to do the infamous boiling water to ice crystals. Sorry to get off topic
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I think that's the cold snap I'm thinking of that was unprecedented before this one. That one also featured a piece of the polar vortex coming very far south
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Just unbelievable to think how this storm will be further priming an already favorable setup for historic cold. I think we are going to see a lot of records shattered. I can't even fathom wind chills of -40 and lower. Last year we got into wind chills well into the -20's and that was awful
