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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Nam definitely a more thread the needle snow. Could be due to a tight area of strong frontogenesis. Those tend to have brutal cutoffs. Globals seem to have a wider band of heavier snow likely due to how the trough is being handled. Curious to see other 0z guidance
  2. Looks like nam continues to cave to other models. Another step NW. It is a lot narrower with the snow and and has a very small corridor of significant snow with a medium sized area of 2-3in
  3. This shall be an interesting few days of model battles. Lol. GFS certainly took a drastic shift. Nam attempted to but not as drastic and a much narrower band of snow. GFS was more spread the wealth. Lets see what King Euro shows
  4. I mean yeah it can change but trends definitely not going in the right direction as of now
  5. Another winter storm DOA. Is it tornado season yet? This has been the lamest winter for a good wrapped up winter storm
  6. Pretty much the story of winter 2019-2020. Seems like the trend this winter is to look good in the long range then slowly fall apart as we get closer. Hoping we can get at least one decent wave out of this
  7. Storm mode is my main concern. Looks like things could grow upscale fast with strong forcing and high instability. I haven't looked to see how strong the capping is
  8. Very well said. Pretty abnormal to see upper levels winds like that this south in late June. The instability/shear combo is impressive esp in southern KS on Sun. But the strong forcing makes me think you could see a lot of storms fire and get messy quick. But man if anything can stay discrete it will be tornadofest. OFB Sat in OK could get interesting
  9. Right. I'm shocked. I can't chase but still like discussing the threat
  10. This thread is anomalously quiet for the weekend severe potential
  11. I just figured it out. My apologies. Was kinda confusing at first. I'm new to the site. But it has a bar up top showing the progress and shows the run at the bottom. I swear I'm not an idiot. Just had a blonde moment. Lol
  12. Then why in the corner does it say 12z Thurs current run?? Where it says valid 0z Thurs is actually the time frame I'm looking at. Wed night
  13. Hopefully won't get in trouble for posting this. Winds aloft not looking as westerly as before. Jet has more amplitude this time around and not as flat
  14. Well 12z euro took a step in the wrong direction. Hopefully just a bad run and not a trend. Looking more GFS like
  15. Yea GFS is all over the place. Euro has been holding relatively consistent. 12z gfs has no surface wave on Wed now and really lags the upper jet behind mostly likely cuz it has more amplitude then euro. Hopefully it caves eventually
  16. Couldn't say it better myself. And it has a nice tight sfc low which is deepening in that classic spot near the panhandles and se CO. Great turning like you said. If euro is right Wed def could be one of the bigger days in recent years in the southern Plains. And love that it is showing it in the better terrain near and west of I35
  17. Yea it's been tough to get some westerlies aloft the last several years. Slow moving meridional BS. So would be fantastic to see a lower amplitude trough for once
  18. 0z gfs very impressive. Esp on Wed. To me seems to be trending towards Euro like solution. Upper levels still more southerly than I prefer but still far out and plenty of time for improvement. Def a step in the right direction
  19. I still think Tues-Thurs have a decent risk of severe weather. Obviously depends on evolution and timing of trough but overall seems like a setup for a few chase days. After this we look to see a lull again into mid month and then possibly ramping up mid to late May again
  20. Thanks for posting those man! Appreciate it. That is gorgeous! Nice low amplitude broad based trough. I know andyhb is a fan of those and I love that it looks like another trough is loading in the SW behind it. Kinda reminds of the late May 2013. Could see several days of chasing opportunities with the possibility of a few bigger days.
  21. I wasn't able to see the upper levels on the site I use for Euro. However I did like the strong sfc low shown near the panhandles. Gfs had a similar position albeit weaker. The moisture and cape were great. What did the jet orientation look like? Seems like models are trending less positive tilt now
  22. Why isn't there a thread for this event yet? Just curious
  23. What site did you get those euro graphics from? I have a subsription to weathermodels now but not impressed
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