Radtechwxman

hey guys! I just joined today! i am a member on accuweather forums to but this seems a lot more professional. i like it. but i totally agree, this system has the makings of a major outbreak. this is a large scale trough and is strongly negatively tilted. plenty of moisture will be able to advect well ahead of the trough. also with a neg tilt, more favorable shear and upper level dynamics will be more prone to cross into the warm sector. if the upper level forcing can pass over the cold front perpendicular, we can get more upper level turning. currently based on GFS, the turning looks to be confined to the lowest few kilometers. that is favorable for quick spin ups but for long track supercells and tornadoes you need deep rooted directional shear