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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Lol I know it is a long shot. But hey it can't be worse than goofus right?
  2. Just like I was saying. I80 north crush job. Lol. But likely to still see fluctuations with this. Curious to see this system in nams range
  3. Also like Stebo was saying, clippers tend to track closely to the previous and often slightly more south. They follow the baroclinic zone. So to me it should take a similar track to the previous two. However this system isn't a traditional clipper and more of a hybrid so there could be more jet interaction/phasing with this that could support a more northerly track. But my gut says it will track somewhere near northern IL. I don't buy GFS tracking it into WI at all
  4. I totally agree. Find it pretty unlikely that this would have rain all the way into northern IL. Our last system came in from the SW and was able to pull a big slug of warm air north. However this system is diving SE from the north so it really won't be able to pull as much warm air north given its distance from the Gulf
  5. Yea we are a long ways from knowing where this is going to track. Gfs being gfs bouncing all over. I feel I80 north will be the jackpot for this. Just a hunch. But I seen time and time again where these trend south in time but this isn't solely a clipper and more of a hybrid so hard to say
  6. Def not like that dream run last night. But knew that was a long shot. Lol. It def has come north. I80 special. Hoping for a southward trend as we get closer
  7. Gfs and euro have like flip flopped. Lol. Now gfs is wanting to track this system like I80 north. IMO I think a further south track is more likely given the strong arctic push behind this
  8. Agreed. Both gfs and euro are showing a wound up system with ample moisture as it is a hybrid with some Pacific moisture. Timing remarkably similar as well. Track and strength will be the main things to watch in the coming days
  9. This map includes tonight's storm plus a few clippers and the big kahuna. That would certainly prime the atmosphere for a massive arctic dump
  10. I hate when we see these dream runs several days out. Cue the heartbreak. Lol. But if we even get half that followed by this possible historic arctic dump my God the temperatures and wind chills will be unbelievable over that deep snowpack. Please verify
  11. Damn you beat me to it! Lol. 0z euro is wagons south! Huge change from where it was. Looks like a good spread the wealth system to. It is even further south with low track than 0z gfs
  12. That's only the beginning. Lol. Man look at that baroclinic zone. Beautiful
  13. Glad we got a thread on this now. At least two clippers this weekend with a potential higher end one early next week. Gfs has been nudging that bigger system south each run but euro is keeping it well north. Should be interesting to see how it unfolds. Model showdown again
  14. Full weenie band here. Some bright banding to south closer to rain-snow line but major snow north of that
  15. If I'm not mistaken that's derived from rap data. I was looking for actual observed pressure falls
  16. Does anyone know a good place to see current pressure falls? I use to use unisys weather but seems they discontinued it now
  17. Well I guess I underestimated the strength of WAA with this. Truly thought the snowpack would help mitigate the warming. The arctic air mass had definitely got more shallow as that high shifted east. Live and learn
  18. Nam was definitely way too cold like several people noted. I'm shocked though given the precedent arctic air mass and snow pack. Goes to show you aggressive WAA can overcome a lot. Already at or slightly above freezing here
  19. Yea it's weird cuz our temps were several degrees below freezing so not sure why it didn't freeze
  20. Weird here cuz it shows returns over Peoria but it is barely misting. Not really much of a glaze on anything. Temps already up to 30. Only thing that makes me wonder is with dews holding in the mid 20s wonder if evaporative cooling will prevent rain and favor more mixed precip longer
  21. Yea that's my thought. As we get closer to freezing it won't accumulate as quickly. But when I see dews hold in the upper 20s that makes me think temps won't climb too aggressively
  22. 0z nam would be something. Prolonged icing event here. I been thinking models are warming too fast given the arctic air mass in place and deep snow pack. Dews are low with temps in the teens. Evaporative cooling could offset major temperature increase. This could get interesting
  23. Yea they really got in a sweet spot north of rain snow line. Def could over perform. Getting some nice bands here now but all the really heavy stuff is more south and east. Wish this was crawling like the last storm. Ha
  24. Not expecting much at all. These bands won't be here long and the stuff to the west is light. We will be lucky to see 2-3in. If that
  25. Naw don't feel guilty. I'm happy for ya man. This never looked good here except when it was like a week out. It slowly went to crap for my area. Ha. Can't win them all. Just started snowing here. Winds picking up. Wonder if that dry slot in MO will impact me or if this band can keep sliding east from Iowa
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