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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Radtechwxman
    They going to do an intermediate advisory or wait till next main one at 5am?
  2. Radtechwxman
    What's the difference between these and the extrapolated pressures? How do they derive the extrapolated pressures?
  3. Radtechwxman
    Seems to be pretty steady state despite a very impressive IR appearance
  4. Radtechwxman
    Pressure up on 8pm advisory and winds stayed same. I honestly thought pressure may be down and winds up based on how satellite looked.
  5. Radtechwxman
    Melissa definitely looks to be doing a loop. Might make an abrupt ne turn soon. Only took 85 years.
  6. Radtechwxman
    It's really looking like it could barely clip the west side of Jamaica at this point. Most if not all models had the ne turn by now didn't they? Melissa seems to be doing it's own thing and defying models. Definitely not evolving at all how I expected track wise. Way more west than I ever expected.
  7. Radtechwxman
    It's really been hugging that left edge of nhc track though. Would hate to be forecasting this or chasing this.
  8. Radtechwxman
    Seriously really starting to wonder if this is going to clip far western Jamaica. It's going to need to make a hard right turn
  9. Radtechwxman
    Not even the strongest quadrant. Absolutely insane
  10. Radtechwxman
    Definitely eager to see that data and hopefully they get a good pass through the eye
  11. Radtechwxman
    Is this the plane that will issue the 5am advisory or will another flight follow this?
  12. Radtechwxman
    I really thought this was going to be a cat 5 now especially given the satellite estimates and what data they're getting now. So confused.
  13. Radtechwxman
    Looks like north turn may be in process of happening now
  14. Radtechwxman
    Apparently hurricane hunters are struggling to hit the eye because it's small and turbulence. Hopefully they get a good sample before having to head back.
  15. Radtechwxman
    Seems like pressure has been steadily dropping all day but winds struggling to catch up. Based on these pressures and satellite look I would think this would be cat 5 now but feel like something has been holding back the winds some.
  16. Radtechwxman
    Are they finding any higher winds along with these big pressure drops?
  17. Radtechwxman
    That is true. As far as intensity and surge impacts but the more west it goes the more rural areas the core of hurricane will impact. However the surge and extreme rainfall impacts will still be impactful well east into more populated areas.
  18. Radtechwxman
    Seems like some hurricane models and other hi res guidance are favoring a more west track before a north turn now which would keep it away from more dense population and hit more rural areas.
  19. Radtechwxman
    That is a massive drop from last recon mission. Im guessing winds will be upgraded to 150-155 if they get data to support it which I think they will.
  20. Radtechwxman
    https://x.com/pettuswx/status/1982527974378217764?s=49
  21. Radtechwxman
    IR satellite imagery really starting to ramp up again. Cloud tops rapidly cooling especially in the southern part of the circulation.
  22. Radtechwxman
    Very fascinating stuff. Thank you for sharing
  23. Radtechwxman
    I wonder why wind isn't responding with such big pressure drops and a relatively small storm. Kind of odd. If it was bigger or actively going through EWRC would make more sense.
  24. Radtechwxman
    So do we think ewrc is trying to start or not? Sure looks like it on radar.
  25. Radtechwxman
    That's what I'm thinking and why I think RI halted for now. This would be bad timing for EWRC because it would have time to intensify again before landfall and expand the wind field.
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