Radtechwxman
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Everything posted by Radtechwxman
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Not looking to snow here till tonight now. 1-2in is probably being optimistic.
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Dry air very much winning here. Going to take a long time to saturate. Hrrr showing little to no snow now. Rap/gfs still show some.
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Yeah it's the dry ne fetch around periphery of arctic high. Eating into the snow. The precip is going into saturating the column instead of falling to ground. The more north you are the drier the air and harder/longer it will be to precipitate.
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Definitely going to be a lot of nowcasting tomorrow with this one
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Dude you have no idea. Lol. I'm hella stressed. I'm in north Peoria and models like hrrr/rap have me nervous because cutoff could be I74. Nam gave me a little hope. Euro still so south. Gfs holding north. No idea what to expect here.
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18z nam's still give me hope. Hrrr not so much. BRUTAL cutoff
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You and me both. Baby steps
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Still pretty far south compared to other models esp regarding the heaviest band. Seems closer to I70 whereas other models are more I72. But nice to see precip shield extending north. Dry air worries me though.
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12z gfs definitely more north with snow band esp that initial waa push
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Valid point. Ha. Regardless it actually gave me snow. Miracle
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12z nams appear to have come north a bit with snow band. System should of been sampled for 12z runs. Curious to see if it is stronger and maybe a trend back north could start. Not holding my breath though.
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Cutoff absolutely brutal over my county. May get nothing here. Gfs my only hope. Lol
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You and me both. Suckered again. Also hrrr coming in more north. Ha. What a mess
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Man what a disheartening trend. South and weak hasn't been denied once again. I may see nothing here now.
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06z gfs did. At least north. Curious to see if models change once system gets sampled
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Gfs being consistently north and wetter vs euro being south and drier. Who's going to win? Sadly feel like it might be Euro
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I'm curious if a more amped solution like gfs will verify. Aloft it was an impressive system. Low would take off more if confluence was less east. However with neg tilt and closed off 500mb low it still had a nice deformation band. Other models are more neutral tilt and shear it out faster. Someone near STL going to get a big ice storm. Would be nice to see euro trend towards gfs
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0z gfs definitely stronger and nw. Major sleet/ice storm around STL. Huge snows north of there. Would be nice to see euro on board with this. Pretty clear why 0z gfs is more robust. Trough goes neg tilt and low closes off and doesn't open up till well east of here.
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If that happened it definitely would allow for a northern push 0z icon seems a bit more realistic
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0z nam is interesting. Lol. I'm not trusting nam till Sat minimum
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I think it should be sampled for 12z runs tomorrow if I'm not mistaken
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Euro has been more back and forth. System should get sampled tomorrow. Still don't like where I'm sitting.
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Lol watches stretch west to east just one county to my south. Probably will end up with advisory here but watch or warning possible depending on trends next few days.
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I would love 18z nam to verify. But it isn't in its good range yet. But definitely something to watch
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This winter has been so lame. I'm ready for a good snowstorm so full send. Ha. But thinking heaviest swath will be near or south of I72.
