Unfortunately for us up this way cold dry ne flow around arctic really going to eat into qpf and make it difficult for snow shield to advance north. Cutoff will be very sharp.
Probably more realistic euro run unfortunately. I think euro was best case north scenario and gfs was worse case south scenario so it's correcting some. An in between solution.
GFS either going to score a big one this being way more south or it's out to lunch per usual. Pretty narrow heavy snow axis on this run. Will obviously come down to phasing and that arctic high placement.
I'm intrigued and definitely keeping an eye out for this more phase trend to hold. Won't shock me if it trends back to less phased and way south though. Lots of moving pieces to watch. Would be a huge win for subforum. I would be happy just getting a few inches to cover ground before arctic tundra sets in.
Euro keeps inching this north. 0z euro brings accumulating snow well north into north central IL. Several inches. Not sure I buy it with strength of high nearby and fetch of cold dry ne flow
Im in a piss poor spot for anything. Clippers missing me north and the southern stream systems well south. I love cold and dry. Bring on tornado season at this point.
Lots of 5-7in reports around my area! This exceeded my expectations. Peoria official total at airport was 5.7in. Peoria is at 16.9in for season now which makes it 2nd snowiest start on record. Also we have already exceeded all of last winter's snowfall by a large margin.
Best snow of the year so far. Awesome banding, dry fluffy snow, and big fat flakes in these heavier bands. Easily seen 1in+ hr rates at times. A true snow globe outside. Sad it's going to torch this week and melt it all.
Im sorry man. I know how that feels. All too well. Pretty much all last winter got missed. Peoria has already surpassed all of last winter's snow. Looks like after a torch for a bit maybe some interesting stuff around Xmas. I was surprised myself these followed basically the same track or close to.
Im definitely worried about another south trend. 0z euro and 0z nam's still look solid for you. Gfs was the most south. Hrrr/rap decently north as well but they also were night before this current event.
Got into a nice weenie band tonight. Was dumping. Heaviest ended up to my south where my persistent banding was but I think I should manage to get in the 2-3in range. Hoping Sat will be more spread the wealth.
Im honestly nervous about my area. Looks good now but so did my area for today days ago and look how much it shifted south. With more potential phasing hoping this one can be more north.
Hoping it doesn't follow baroclinic zone put down by today's snow and more so the incoming temp gradient with the arctic front. ILX seems to think it will follow snow swath of today's system and be more south. Models right now disagree. But obviously could change.
Not looking like it anymore. Keeps shifting south and less qpf on morning runs. At this point 2in is probably generous here. Maybe 3in if we get into good banding. Hoping Sat can pan out better cuz this one has really downtrended.