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LVblizzard

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  1. LVblizzard
    It’s been a long time since there was such a wide spread of solutions less than 3 days out. The ICON rains on everyone, even the Poconos. The GFS plasters the Lehigh Valley and Poconos. The UKMET is an I-95 snowstorm. And the NAM, CMC, and RGEM are light to moderate events at best. This thing is a nightmare to forecast. We’ll see what the Euro shows in about half an hour..
  2. LVblizzard
    Huh? No it’s not. If anything it ticked north a little. It’s warmer than 0z and more tucked into the coast. Not a bad run by any means but it’s less of a weenie fest than last night’s run.
  3. LVblizzard
    HUG HUG HUG the Euro! A foot for the Lehigh Valley with 1-3"/hr rates early Tuesday morning!
  4. LVblizzard
    RGEM is another nice hit for the LV/Poconos. Models are starting to converge on a jackpot zone somewhere between I-78 and I-80.
  5. LVblizzard
    Big jump south on the Euro control. Is Philly back in it?
  6. LVblizzard
    End of the 18z Euro. LV/Poconos jackpot zone this run. Philly burbs start as rain but flip to snow as heavier precip arrives.
  7. LVblizzard
    Kuchera maps are more accurate for this event since they take lower ratios into account.
  8. LVblizzard
    Some plowable snow down to Philly on the GFS. Big hit north of the turnpike.
  9. LVblizzard
    But not too much. Otherwise it’s suppressed and hardly anyone gets snow.
  10. LVblizzard
    Not getting excited yet, it’s still 5 days away and a lot can change. This could easily come back north. Plus even on the colder models (minus the GFS) we still rain quite a bit.
  11. LVblizzard
    0z GFS is teasing us...
  12. LVblizzard
    I fly back to Philly from Denver late Sunday night and I likely won’t be getting back to Allentown till 2 am. Guarantee this will happen the one time I don’t want a snowstorm.
  13. LVblizzard
    Light to moderate snow in Allentown despite the weak echoes on radar. Very high ratio stuff.
  14. LVblizzard
    Still steady light snow in Allentown. We’ve missed all the heavy bands unfortunately. We might get to 2”. Slightly disappointing even though my expectations were not very high. No clue what Mt. Holly was thinking…and their point forecast still says 3-5” for some reason.
  15. LVblizzard
    I think we’re good for another inch or so later as the precip fills back in. But yeah it would have been really nice to be in those heavy bands.
  16. LVblizzard
    Steady light to moderate snow in Allentown. About an inch so far.
  17. LVblizzard
    Huh? Snow map is very similar to 18z. 3km run cut totals very slightly but just minor changes.
  18. LVblizzard
    Expecting 2-4" in my Allentown suburb. Leaning closer to 2" than 4". Should still make for a pretty scene tomorrow.
  19. LVblizzard
    I just don’t understand where these aggressive numbers from Mt. Holly are coming from. There is virtually no model support for widespread 4-6.” Aside from maybe the HREF.
  20. LVblizzard
    HRRR keeps bringing the Norlun trough south. Not liking the trends - not just with the HRRR but all the models.
  21. LVblizzard
    Looks good south of 422 and the turnpike but I’d cut everything by 1-2” north of that.
  22. LVblizzard
    Anyone see the 12z GFS for next Friday?
  23. LVblizzard
    Just updated my page, I stuck with 2-4” for the Lehigh Valley. Not sure where all these ultra aggressive forecasts are coming from. I’d be more surprised if my forecast busted high rather than low.
  24. LVblizzard
    Is DT on crack or something? That is just a ridiculous map.
  25. LVblizzard
    NAM and the other American hi-res models vs. everything else. Quite the battle we have here. Hopefully we get some clearer answers by tomorrow's 12z suite.
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