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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. Directly under that band in the Lehigh Valley right now. Coming down pretty good. Probably close to 1”/hr rates.
  2. Not worried about that. Look at LWX radar…this stuff keeps backbuilding over Balt/DC and moving northeast.
  3. I’d be very worried if I lived in south Jersey right now. Radar does not look good for them at all. On the other hand, I-78 and northern areas could get towards the higher end of guidance. That dry slot filled in quick and here in Allentown moderate snow has begun again.
  4. Yes it was, and forecast totals should still verify. The coastal is just getting going now so precip should fill in for the Philly area in the next hour or two.
  5. Still snowing lightly in the dry slot. The main show looks to start in just an hour or so here.
  6. Moderate snow in Allentown, all surfaces covered. Looks like we could get dryslotted here in a bit, models had it filling pretty quickly so we’ll see what happens.
  7. Steady light snow in Allentown. Dusting on the grass. Really liking the look of those heavier echoes to the south.
  8. Steady light snow which is starting to stick. Here we gooooo!
  9. Flakes starting to fly in Allentown. Sticking with my 4-8” call here that I’ve had since Friday.
  10. Later start time is no bueno…I was hoping for an Eagles game where the field is white for the entire game. Might have to settle for just the second half.
  11. The NAM continues to poke random holes in the precip shield like Swiss cheese so it’s hard to take its precip output seriously. The 3km is much more reasonable.
  12. 0z HRRR has about 3” of snow falling in Philly during tomorrow’s game. Total accumulation is 5-7” for most of the area.
  13. I said 4-8” as a first call for the Lehigh Valley yesterday and that’s still looking perfect. I’d be very surprised if ABE ended up outside of that range.
  14. I’m not buying the late arrival of precip on the NAM. It has been doing some weird stuff with the precip field for the last few runs. The 3km looks much more reasonable.
  15. 18z HRRR keeps Philly mostly snow tomorrow. 4-8” for the region with the jackpot zone through the ABE area.
  16. Euro looks similar to 6z. A little colder for I-95.
  17. RGEM finally backed off its insane inland runner solution. Looks like a solid 4-8” from the Philly burbs through the LV, up to 10” in the Poconos.
  18. 12z NAM + some other mesos are really pushing back the start time of this thing. Some have snow not starting till 2-3 pm.
  19. NAMs might be cold but they’re very dry. Less than 6” everywhere in our region.
  20. Both NAMs are very cold and don’t get the R/S line anywhere remotely close to Philly.
  21. Ensembles are VERY aggressive. Some members have a full on SECS.
  22. Euro ensembles honking for Wednesday. Plowable snow to Philly and possibly north. Super high ratio fluff with the sheer amount of cold air in place.
  23. Euro nudged NW a little and got wetter. Still no warning level snows except for some areas in Berks and Chesco. It’s getting there though!
  24. Dr. No holds steady at 18z with just 2-4” region-wide. Seems like an outlier at this point.
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