Jump to content

LVblizzard

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,900

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    Also the fact that the WAA thump is quite intense and the majority of the precip is done by the time the warm nose arrives.
  2. LVblizzard
    It doesn’t want to fully transfer the primary low at all. It just keeps going with it until it’s in upstate NY and pushes the high out of the way like it’s nothing. Not really buying that.
  3. LVblizzard
    I’ve noticed that the Canadian rarely agrees with the consensus. It’s usually way north or way south. This seems like one of those times it’s too amped. Haven’t seen any solutions remotely resembling it.
  4. LVblizzard
    The magic of a 1037 high in Quebec.
  5. LVblizzard
    I would be absolutely shocked if the mix line makes it past Philly. Even mixing to Philly seems unlikely with the sheer amount of cold air we’re working with.
  6. LVblizzard
    This is a true arctic airmass. I’m in Killington, VT currently. Wind chill got down to -20 on the mountain today. Not staying till the weekend but Saturday could get wind chills near -30. Just insane how cold it’s been, especially when you remember we’re technically still in a La Niña.
  7. LVblizzard
    The 12z Euro only did a partial phase and still pulled off a MECS. The only thing we can’t have is those two pieces staying entirely separate. Literally any interaction and we get at least a SECS.
  8. LVblizzard
    Probably more. It wasn’t done yet at the end of the run.
  9. LVblizzard
    When the ensembles disagree with the OP that is a major red flag. OP is most likely out to lunch.
  10. LVblizzard
    That has more to to with the TPV splitting and digging more west than the energy in the southwest.
  11. LVblizzard
    That is a ridiculous amount of sleet for VA. Shoveling 1 inch is bad enough…7 inches would be torturous.
  12. LVblizzard
    Overall a good 0z suite. Still a lot of work to do to iron out details. We probably won’t have a good handle on this until Thursday morning at the earliest.
  13. LVblizzard
    I’ve seen this before. The models like to troll us like this. By Thursday they will all show entirely different solutions again.
  14. LVblizzard
    With an airmass this cold we really only need like .7” or .8” liquid to see a foot. This will be high ratio fluff.
  15. LVblizzard
    Now do the AI GFS which has inexplicably gone the opposite direction lol.
  16. LVblizzard
    Huh? 12z GEFS mean came noticeably more north.
  17. LVblizzard
    Someone posted the Kuchera map in the Mid-Atlantic subforum. 16-28” for all of us. Would be up there with the all time greats.
  18. LVblizzard
    Even with the AI GFS solution we still get a significant storm with just a partial phase. Sky’s the limit for this weekend.
  19. LVblizzard
    EPAWA is usually spot on but when they put out this map I was like WTF are they thinking. I suppose round 2 could still beef up totals for their D and E zones but they severely underestimated the western extent of plowable snow.
  20. LVblizzard
    Just shy of 2” here as light snow continues. Watching the radar today will be very interesting to see how far west that second wave gets.
  21. LVblizzard
    Snow starting in central PA, a bit ahead of schedule. Expecting around 2” from this in Allentown…hopefully the evening stuff comes west for a little more.
  22. LVblizzard
    About 5.5” in Allentown. Tomorrow keeps trending better and better on the mesos. We could even get plowable snow here which was unthinkable at this time yesterday.
  23. LVblizzard
    Can anyone remember a storm performing quite like this with a low in southern Ontario? Usually these give us 1-3” max. This one gave Allentown nearly 6” of snow.
  24. LVblizzard
    Coming up on 4” in Allentown. Should hit at least 5” looking at radar.
  25. LVblizzard
    The NAM is either very right or very wrong when it does stuff like that. We like to laugh at it but sometimes it ends up winning in the end. Dumping in Allentown…about 2” on the ground.
×
×
  • Create New...