Latest HRRR came north and now has at least something in the Lehigh Valley. C-1” as opposed to nothing in its previous runs. Plus I just refreshed KDIX and there are some weak echoes starting to appear around here. So it’s probably not going to be a nothingburger bust at least. Not really looking good for anything more than an inch though.
Found a spot to watch in downtown Philly last night then partied on Broad Street. Took me 20 minutes just to go half a mile to get on the Schuylkill afterwards but it was completely worth it. What a night.
0z NAM brings back the Tuesday threat with plowable snow up to the turnpike. 18z Euro and RGEM also looked much better. Don’t write this one off yet! I doubt it trends back to a big one but we could still get some decent snow out of this.
Next week could literally be the worst case scenario. First wave misses south, second wave rains on us. Just brutal given how much potential this period had.
12z NAM gives ABE less than an inch of snow and sleets like crazy on us. HRRR is mostly snow with 6”. This storm starts today. Oh how I love this hobby…
Going 2-4” for the Lehigh Valley tomorrow. But I won’t be there…I’m in Philly officiating a college tennis tournament.
Last match is at 2 pm Sunday and should last about 2-3 hours. Perfect timing to head downtown afterwards and find a Super Bowl watch party.
Beautiful run of the 18z GFS. 8-12” on Tues-Wed with over a foot in the NW Philly burbs. Then another 6-12” north of the turnpike with the Thurs-Fri storm. Glorious!
18z NAM is still an outlier with warm mid levels, but it took a step towards the colder solutions. It actually gets snow west of the Delaware this time. That’s all I really wanted to see from it.
Crazy how models differ so much with the snow/sleet line at the onset of precip. The NAM has it pretty much entirely in NJ while the Euro and HRRR give the Lehigh Valley plowable snow. 18z NAM is coming out now, hopefully it’ll give us a clue.
I have to be somewhere at 11 so I’m hoping the roads aren’t too bad at that time. I’m able to take main roads for 95% of the drive which should help a lot.