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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    Hell of a storm ongoing in Allentown. Lots of thunder and lightning, gusty winds, and even some small hail.
  2. LVblizzard
    We got a light dusting on the grass which will probably be gone when I wake up tomorrow. Steady light snow continues here.
  3. LVblizzard
    Yeah just flurries near Allentown. No accumulation of any sort anywhere.
  4. LVblizzard
    This is one of those storms where downsloping off the Poconos creates a screw zone in the Lehigh Valley. Even the most optimistic runs have shown totals decreasing by a good margin from Carbon/Monroe to Lehigh/Northampton counties.
  5. LVblizzard
    12z 3km NAM gets plowable snow all the way to Philly and south Jersey.
  6. LVblizzard
    GFS came southwest a little. Poconos get in on the good stuff while the Lehigh Valley sees plowable snow. Gonna be pretty close around here.
  7. LVblizzard
    0z NAM says hello Lehigh Valley. Almost a foot of snow and still coming down hard at the end of the run.
  8. LVblizzard
    The Euro has a bias of digging the northern stream too much, and as a result, it likes to show east coast bombs when other models have fish storms. Remember Juno? Probably the best example. Euro stubbornly showed 1-2 feet for the Philly area and held onto that solution till the bitter end. Actual amounts weren’t even close to that.
  9. LVblizzard
    Looking like a southern Poconos special…I could see 3-6” there. Radar still looks pretty good out west for an inch or two in the Lehigh Valley later.
  10. LVblizzard
    I just posted 1-3” for the Lehigh Valley on my page. The NAM is an outlier with how far north it has the heavy band. The HRRR and the other mesos favor Bethlehem and Easton more. They also have up to 5” in the Lehigh Valley but that’s not happening with the warm ground temps. Snow will eventually accumulate due to the heavy rates, but with a quick hitter like this, every hour counts, and this thing looks to be in and out in around 4-5 hours.
  11. LVblizzard
    PA is in the sweet spot for this. The blocking will shear out the system but not before it drops a bunch of snow somewhere in the state. It's a really tricky forecast, though, since the band of heavy snow will be so narrow. We won't know where the jackpot zone will be till like 6 hours before this thing actually gets to eastern PA.
  12. LVblizzard
    Lehigh Valley just got NAM'd. It just printed out 4-8" for the ABE area tomorrow night.
  13. LVblizzard
    Yeah I think we see another inch or so. Which would still be our biggest snowfall of the season.
  14. LVblizzard
    Sleet has been mixing in here in Allentown but it never fully transitioned away from snow. Now that the next round of precip is moving in it’s becoming predominantly snow again. Huge flakes.
  15. LVblizzard
    About an inch so far in Allentown. Round 1 looks like it’s about to end but the radar is improving slightly in central PA.
  16. LVblizzard
    The stuff in western and central PA looks good though. As long as the mid levels don’t torch that will bring us to our predicted totals.
  17. LVblizzard
    Can’t really see 5-8” for the LV…there’s plenty of cold air but the radar just doesn’t look good enough. I do think we see a plowable 2-4” though. Maybe up to 5” in spots. Just started snowing in Allentown. Gonna be a fun evening here.
  18. LVblizzard
    Decent storm signal on the Euro ensembles for late next week. I’m really optimistic about this one because I’ll be in California next Thursday-Sunday so if a storm happens I won’t get to experience it at all.
  19. LVblizzard
    Just started snowing in Allentown. 42F. Mid to low levels must be pretty cold if it’s over 40 with snow falling.
  20. LVblizzard
    FWIW it looks like this system is colder than modeled already in NW PA. Lots of sleet reports from Erie down to I-80 when every model had rain there at this time.
  21. LVblizzard
    Friday is looking worse by the hour…looks like tonight is our best hope here in the LV. Haven’t had an event over 2” all season, will tonight’s system finally be the one to pass that mark?
  22. LVblizzard
    Love how tomorrow night is trending colder. I just made my first call on my page, 1-3” for the Lehigh Valley…I might have to increase that a little bit if these trends continue! Also starting to get mildly excited about Friday even though I’m scheduled (for now) to drive to and from Princeton that day.
  23. LVblizzard
    I see sleet reports as far south as Delaware and the Jersey Shore. Looks like the cold air was under-modeled.
  24. LVblizzard
    That is one nasty cell crossing into NJ right now. Even has a little hook on it.
  25. LVblizzard
    A bit of thunder here in Allentown. We’ve had more claps of thunder today than inches of snow this year.
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