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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    The 12z Euro only did a partial phase and still pulled off a MECS. The only thing we can’t have is those two pieces staying entirely separate. Literally any interaction and we get at least a SECS.
  2. LVblizzard
    Probably more. It wasn’t done yet at the end of the run.
  3. LVblizzard
    When the ensembles disagree with the OP that is a major red flag. OP is most likely out to lunch.
  4. LVblizzard
    That has more to to with the TPV splitting and digging more west than the energy in the southwest.
  5. LVblizzard
    That is a ridiculous amount of sleet for VA. Shoveling 1 inch is bad enough…7 inches would be torturous.
  6. LVblizzard
    Overall a good 0z suite. Still a lot of work to do to iron out details. We probably won’t have a good handle on this until Thursday morning at the earliest.
  7. LVblizzard
    I’ve seen this before. The models like to troll us like this. By Thursday they will all show entirely different solutions again.
  8. LVblizzard
    With an airmass this cold we really only need like .7” or .8” liquid to see a foot. This will be high ratio fluff.
  9. LVblizzard
    Now do the AI GFS which has inexplicably gone the opposite direction lol.
  10. LVblizzard
    Huh? 12z GEFS mean came noticeably more north.
  11. LVblizzard
    Someone posted the Kuchera map in the Mid-Atlantic subforum. 16-28” for all of us. Would be up there with the all time greats.
  12. LVblizzard
    Even with the AI GFS solution we still get a significant storm with just a partial phase. Sky’s the limit for this weekend.
  13. LVblizzard
    EPAWA is usually spot on but when they put out this map I was like WTF are they thinking. I suppose round 2 could still beef up totals for their D and E zones but they severely underestimated the western extent of plowable snow.
  14. LVblizzard
    Just shy of 2” here as light snow continues. Watching the radar today will be very interesting to see how far west that second wave gets.
  15. LVblizzard
    Snow starting in central PA, a bit ahead of schedule. Expecting around 2” from this in Allentown…hopefully the evening stuff comes west for a little more.
  16. LVblizzard
    About 5.5” in Allentown. Tomorrow keeps trending better and better on the mesos. We could even get plowable snow here which was unthinkable at this time yesterday.
  17. LVblizzard
    Can anyone remember a storm performing quite like this with a low in southern Ontario? Usually these give us 1-3” max. This one gave Allentown nearly 6” of snow.
  18. LVblizzard
    Coming up on 4” in Allentown. Should hit at least 5” looking at radar.
  19. LVblizzard
    The NAM is either very right or very wrong when it does stuff like that. We like to laugh at it but sometimes it ends up winning in the end. Dumping in Allentown…about 2” on the ground.
  20. LVblizzard
    That Sunday coastal storm keeps disappearing and then coming back. Almost as if it’s teasing all us weenies.
  21. LVblizzard
    The RGEM also nailed that snow/sleet fiasco 3 weeks ago. It’s the best of the short range models IMO.
  22. LVblizzard
    Mesos seem to agree on a stripe of 2-4” somewhere between Philly and the Poconos tomorrow. The question is where exactly does it set up? I’m feeling pretty good in Allentown but the Poconos could do particularly well because of their elevation.
  23. LVblizzard
    12z HRRR has a solid advisory level event north of the immediate Philly metro tomorrow. Even pushes warning criteria in parts of northern NJ.
  24. LVblizzard
    Sunday threat isn’t dead yet. GEFS keeps this subforum in the game. RGEM and RRFS bring the precip shield way west too.
  25. LVblizzard
    GFS remains very interesting for Sunday. RGEM has jumped NW as well.
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