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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    0z mesos generally agree on a region-wide C-1” with lollies to 2”. Unfortunately most of it looks to fall while we’re all sleeping.
  2. LVblizzard
    I will take my inch and be happy. Really would like a big one this winter though. Especially since I was out of town for the storm with the rogue Lehigh Valley death band last year.
  3. LVblizzard
    Our weekend threat is pretty much dead. Glad I never hyped it up on my page like so many of them did. C-2” still seems likely at least.
  4. LVblizzard
    Watertown, NY would be a good place for him.
  5. LVblizzard
    All 12z models except the UKMET and Canadian have a 1-3” or 2-4” event on Saturday. Big storm is still on the table but not really looking likely.
  6. LVblizzard
    It’ll be close but the northern stream is lacking too much. Still should get a light-moderate event out of it. Edit: never mind, it got kicked out before it even reached 40N. Well then.
  7. LVblizzard
    I don’t think any of the short range models had the wraparound snow up to the Lehigh Valley. Yet we’re getting a little bit. It’s really light and not accumulating. Still nice to have snow falling to set the mood.
  8. LVblizzard
    It was getting ready to head east in the next few frames. Our problem even if we get a strong storm is that s/w coming into the plains that acts as a kicker. So we couldn’t get a storm that stalls and loops near the benchmark like a lot of the classic ones do.
  9. LVblizzard
    Snow gets down to Atlanta. But you’re close. It does look a hell of a lot better than 0z at least. Still whiffs everyone north of the M-D line but it’s closer.
  10. LVblizzard
    Interesting how the snow went more north than expected (seeing reports of flakes north of Danbury, CT) but the heavy snow just did not want to reach SE PA at all. I can’t find a single report of over 2 inches in the entire Philly metro area.
  11. LVblizzard
    I wish I could buy the GFS but I just don’t. It’s possible but we need everything to come together perfectly. While there’s a chance it’s not a very good one.
  12. LVblizzard
    Steady light snow in Allentown. All surfaces covered.
  13. LVblizzard
    This thread is awfully dead for a snow event that will begin in about 5-6 hours. We may not be getting the big amounts like DC, but it’ll still be decent for many of us.
  14. LVblizzard
    We need this thing to phase and deepen as early as possible with the kicker right on its heels. A more N-S ridge axis in the west would help too. Otherwise it grazes us and crushes the DMV area again.
  15. LVblizzard
    Right now the northern extent of precip is roughly from Muncie, IN to Dayton, OH to Parkersburg, WV looking at mPING reports. Closer to the HRRR than the NAM.
  16. LVblizzard
    Northern extent of precip ends up being similar but it’s quite a bit drier. While the LV/Poconos aren’t too different from 6z it cuts totals in half south of the turnpike.
  17. LVblizzard
    The Euro shows a MECS at day 7 and no one here is acknowledging it?
  18. LVblizzard
    GFS takes away next weekend’s storm. Euro brings it back. Another week of tracking ahead…
  19. LVblizzard
    Euro came north with the heavy stuff but for those of us on the northern fringes it was unchanged from 18z.
  20. LVblizzard
    My rough thoughts right now
  21. LVblizzard
    RGEM* the global version doesn’t come out for another 45 minutes.
  22. LVblizzard
    RGEM is still ridiculously south. I do remember it being the last model to come around in Jan. 2016 if that means anything…
  23. LVblizzard
    This map is essentially my current thoughts about how this will play out.
  24. LVblizzard
    Small tick south on both NAMs.
  25. LVblizzard
    Euro north a little as well. This is what I was expecting to happen since models usually overdo confluence. Now let’s see how far north we can go.
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