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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    21z RAP gets warning level snow almost to the Lehigh Valley. Not saying it’s right but it’s certainly interesting. Really looking forward to tonight’s 0z suite.
  2. LVblizzard
    I generally like to do that but the RGEM is a short range model despite not being super hi-res. So I feel like I can’t completely toss it like I am with the UKMET.
  3. LVblizzard
    Meanwhile the RGEM ticks south and screws over everyone north of the turnpike. I genuinely have no idea what to think at this point.
  4. LVblizzard
    NAM is essentially unchanged from 12z at the surface. 3km NAM, however, has jumped north, bringing warning level snow to Philly,
  5. LVblizzard
    Still snowing at this frame. We’d all be happy with this.
  6. LVblizzard
    18z HRRR looks decent for us. Moderate to heavy snow up to the Poconos on Monday morning.
  7. LVblizzard
    Call me crazy but I still think the Lehigh Valley gets an advisory level event while warning level snow approaches Philly. I’ve seen these types of storms come 50 miles north in the last day or two too many times before. It feels like a matter of when it’ll happen, not if.
  8. LVblizzard
    No surprises on the Euro. It holds.
  9. LVblizzard
    SREF mean went a little north again. Sign of things to come for the 0z suite?
  10. LVblizzard
    Dusting on the grass in Allentown. Steady snow has stopped but some flurries remain.
  11. LVblizzard
    Ends up being a little better but the MA forum still wins.
  12. LVblizzard
    Looks like a…uh, never mind.
  13. LVblizzard
    Not sure if we’re about to fully get NAM’d or not but this run should be better than 12z.
  14. LVblizzard
    This is the kind of event where I REALLY wish we had a radar near I-81 in the coal region.
  15. LVblizzard
    There’s also some confluence we have to deal with in the upper Midwest. Although that could be related to that lobe over Maine.
  16. LVblizzard
    Those squalls in central PA look like they mean business. Hoping they hold together so we can get an inch or so.
  17. LVblizzard
    Light snow has started in Allentown. Not sticking yet.
  18. LVblizzard
    For what it’s worth (probably not much) the 15z SREF bumped north a bit.
  19. LVblizzard
    Radar is blossoming in central PA. Looks like it’s headed for the Philly burbs.
  20. LVblizzard
    I would be very surprised if this storm trended down to just flurries and snow showers for us. In the Poconos, sure, but I’m confident accumulating snow will get to the Lehigh Valley.
  21. LVblizzard
    It’s called the crazy uncle for a reason. As much as it sucks it’s still better than the abomination it showed last night.
  22. LVblizzard
    GFS gives SE PA weenies hope again. Warning level snow up to Quakertown.
  23. LVblizzard
    12z models so far (NAM, RGEM, ICON) aren’t horrible for us. They all get accumulating snow into pretty much the entire Mt. Holly CWA, except maybe Sussex County NJ. But another tick south and I will start to get very worried.
  24. LVblizzard
    December was halfway decent so I wouldn’t consider us “snow starved.” But yes this storm is a really annoying one.
  25. LVblizzard
    It’s the hope that kills you…
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