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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. GFS takes away next weekend’s storm. Euro brings it back. Another week of tracking ahead…
  2. Euro came north with the heavy stuff but for those of us on the northern fringes it was unchanged from 18z.
  3. RGEM* the global version doesn’t come out for another 45 minutes.
  4. RGEM is still ridiculously south. I do remember it being the last model to come around in Jan. 2016 if that means anything…
  5. This map is essentially my current thoughts about how this will play out.
  6. Euro north a little as well. This is what I was expecting to happen since models usually overdo confluence. Now let’s see how far north we can go.
  7. 21z RAP gets warning level snow almost to the Lehigh Valley. Not saying it’s right but it’s certainly interesting. Really looking forward to tonight’s 0z suite.
  8. I generally like to do that but the RGEM is a short range model despite not being super hi-res. So I feel like I can’t completely toss it like I am with the UKMET.
  9. Meanwhile the RGEM ticks south and screws over everyone north of the turnpike. I genuinely have no idea what to think at this point.
  10. NAM is essentially unchanged from 12z at the surface. 3km NAM, however, has jumped north, bringing warning level snow to Philly,
  11. Still snowing at this frame. We’d all be happy with this.
  12. 18z HRRR looks decent for us. Moderate to heavy snow up to the Poconos on Monday morning.
  13. Call me crazy but I still think the Lehigh Valley gets an advisory level event while warning level snow approaches Philly. I’ve seen these types of storms come 50 miles north in the last day or two too many times before. It feels like a matter of when it’ll happen, not if.
  14. SREF mean went a little north again. Sign of things to come for the 0z suite?
  15. Dusting on the grass in Allentown. Steady snow has stopped but some flurries remain.
  16. Ends up being a little better but the MA forum still wins.
  17. Looks like a…uh, never mind.
  18. Not sure if we’re about to fully get NAM’d or not but this run should be better than 12z.
  19. This is the kind of event where I REALLY wish we had a radar near I-81 in the coal region.
  20. There’s also some confluence we have to deal with in the upper Midwest. Although that could be related to that lobe over Maine.
  21. Those squalls in central PA look like they mean business. Hoping they hold together so we can get an inch or so.
  22. Light snow has started in Allentown. Not sticking yet.
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