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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    0z mesos are way less amped with Sunday’s little wave which makes it cold enough for snow down to I-78. Gonna be interesting to see if that trend continues.
  2. LVblizzard
    I swear this stuff always happens at the exact moment we all get sick of the snow and cold.
  3. LVblizzard
    Major agreement for this on the globals and ensembles now. It looks like we could have an extended period of 60s and 70s starting late next week.
  4. LVblizzard
    Another failure by the models here. They all had about an inch last night pretty consistently for days. We got nothing but virga and maybe a flurry. This is honestly just as frustrating as a bigger bust because it seems like such a simple setup that just never materialized for some reason.
  5. LVblizzard
    AI GFS would certainly be something if it verified.
  6. LVblizzard
    Well that Thursday threat disappeared quickly. It was never going to be anything big but a little burst of snow would have been nice. Crazy to think some models had it in upstate NY two days ago…now it’s suppressed to the south.
  7. LVblizzard
    Thursday’s storm keeps trending towards a miss. I’ll have to enjoy the inch or so I get tonight, even if the sun angle causes it to melt immediately tomorrow.
  8. LVblizzard
    Even when I say I'm sick of winter and ready for warmer weather, the minute that late March/early April threat comes around I'm watching the models and cheering on snow just like in the middle of winter.
  9. LVblizzard
    Snow is melting quick here. A third of it is gone already.
  10. LVblizzard
    I think the problem is that they rely too heavily on the NBM which has far more mesos/SREF data ingested into it than global model data. The same thing happened a month ago in the DC area, the NBM kept giving them a foot when it was clear they would be mostly sleet.
  11. LVblizzard
    Ended with about 6 inches here. Not a huge bust on the level of Boxing Day or Juno, but it’s definitely a “what could have been” storm.
  12. LVblizzard
    Light snow here, about 5 inches. Looks like some banding will find its way here overnight but it doesn’t look like it’ll be anything special. Not worth staying up for it, I’ll have to find out how much additional snow we get in the morning.
  13. LVblizzard
    What a massive fail by the RGEM. It’s going to bust low everywhere.
  14. LVblizzard
    A lot of the short range models show a lull overnight followed by more in the morning. All depends on how the low tracks.
  15. LVblizzard
    They really want an additional 4-12" here? 4", sure...no way we get a foot though.
  16. LVblizzard
    Your total seems awfully low...I have 4" and there are multiple reports exceeding that in the area.
  17. LVblizzard
    Snow has lightened up here but it's still steady. About 4 inches so far. Looks like another heavier band is trying to make its way here.
  18. LVblizzard
    Based on the info drought guy has given us I think he lives on the mountain south of Macungie. This is the type of storm where he should get a couple inches more than us just because of terrain enhanced snow.
  19. LVblizzard
    A little north of Macungie, close to Dorney Park.
  20. LVblizzard
    Made it into that heavy band, at least for the moment. 2 inches on the ground. Less than 2 more inches and we exceed the RGEM total!
  21. LVblizzard
    I’ve seen Boxing Day floated as an analog for this. I’m already very close to my total from that storm with moderate snow falling. That band to the south looks nice…hopefully it makes it up this way.
  22. LVblizzard
    Getting some stickage now, roads are still just wet though.
  23. LVblizzard
    Changed over to snow in Allentown about 15 minutes ago. Radar and latest HRRR both look good. Even if it’s not the insane model solutions from yesterday it looks like we’ll squeeze a pretty good storm out of this.
  24. LVblizzard
    On a side note, what is up with so many people making a mad dash to the grocery store? Even if the original 12-18” were to verify, it’s not like we’d be stuck in the house for more than a day or two.
  25. LVblizzard
    The HRRR appears to have halted the east trend. All runs since 12z have looked very similar.
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