3km NAM has a nasty squall line sweep through the area this evening. The HRRR keeps storms weaker and has them stay mostly south of I-78. Will be interesting to see how today plays out.
Some of the hi-res models are hinting at a backdoor cold front moving through tomorrow night. Hopefully the warm front can make it far enough north on Sunday so we’re not cloudy and cool.
Snow/graupel showers being reported in the Lehigh Valley, even with temps in the mid 40s. Pretty rare to see frozen precip with surface temps this warm.
12z GFS seems to be on its own for next weekend. It has 30s and 40s with a SECS the following Tuesday. Meanwhile all the other models flex the SE ridge and get us into the 70s.
GFS just does not want to give up on the Thursday night snow event. No other models agree with it. We saw what happened with a situation like this 2 weeks ago. It folded like a deck of cards.
Forget backdoor cold front hell. Today is actually great. Sure it’s not upper 60s like Monday and Tuesday but 55 and sunny with not much wind is always a good day in my book. And to think the NAM had highs in the low 40s 2 days ago…
Really nice day today despite the cold front moving through. Tomorrow looks like backdoor cold front hell then we get 2 really nice days before the rain comes on Sunday.