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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    The afternoon stuff looks like it’ll be the main show at this point. The line along the cold front will be some gusty winds and nothing more.
  2. LVblizzard
    A lot of the mesos fail to advance the most favorable severe parameters past Berks/Lebanon counties tomorrow. This doesn’t diminish the wind threat much but the chance for supercells could be confined to central PA.
  3. LVblizzard
    Ya know what, if it’s gonna be cold, give us more snow. Cold and dry this time of year is brutal. Snow at least makes it a little more interesting. Plus the cleanup doesn’t take as long with the sun angle helping melt the snow very quickly this time of year.
  4. LVblizzard
    SPC put out an enhanced risk towards the Suquehanna River area. Would not be surprised to see that expanded north and east in later outlooks.
  5. LVblizzard
    Steady light snow in Allentown. Not sticking to anything. We need it to get heavier to coat the grass and cars.
  6. LVblizzard
    Whole lot of virga in Allentown right now. We did get a bit of sleet earlier though.
  7. LVblizzard
    The snow pile at the end of my neighbor's driveway has finally melted. All that's left is the piles in parking lots.
  8. LVblizzard
    Looks like it did! Seeing some lightning to the north for the first thunderstorm of the year!
  9. LVblizzard
    Snowpack is officially gone. There’s a shady spot in my yard that still had some remnants left. Today’s rain washed that away. All that’s left now is the pile at the end of my driveway. Overall a very impressive duration, I had snow on the ground there for a month and a half straight.
  10. LVblizzard
    0z mesos are way less amped with Sunday’s little wave which makes it cold enough for snow down to I-78. Gonna be interesting to see if that trend continues.
  11. LVblizzard
    I swear this stuff always happens at the exact moment we all get sick of the snow and cold.
  12. LVblizzard
    Major agreement for this on the globals and ensembles now. It looks like we could have an extended period of 60s and 70s starting late next week.
  13. LVblizzard
    Another failure by the models here. They all had about an inch last night pretty consistently for days. We got nothing but virga and maybe a flurry. This is honestly just as frustrating as a bigger bust because it seems like such a simple setup that just never materialized for some reason.
  14. LVblizzard
    AI GFS would certainly be something if it verified.
  15. LVblizzard
    Well that Thursday threat disappeared quickly. It was never going to be anything big but a little burst of snow would have been nice. Crazy to think some models had it in upstate NY two days ago…now it’s suppressed to the south.
  16. LVblizzard
    Thursday’s storm keeps trending towards a miss. I’ll have to enjoy the inch or so I get tonight, even if the sun angle causes it to melt immediately tomorrow.
  17. LVblizzard
    Even when I say I'm sick of winter and ready for warmer weather, the minute that late March/early April threat comes around I'm watching the models and cheering on snow just like in the middle of winter.
  18. LVblizzard
    Snow is melting quick here. A third of it is gone already.
  19. LVblizzard
    I think the problem is that they rely too heavily on the NBM which has far more mesos/SREF data ingested into it than global model data. The same thing happened a month ago in the DC area, the NBM kept giving them a foot when it was clear they would be mostly sleet.
  20. LVblizzard
    Ended with about 6 inches here. Not a huge bust on the level of Boxing Day or Juno, but it’s definitely a “what could have been” storm.
  21. LVblizzard
    Light snow here, about 5 inches. Looks like some banding will find its way here overnight but it doesn’t look like it’ll be anything special. Not worth staying up for it, I’ll have to find out how much additional snow we get in the morning.
  22. LVblizzard
    What a massive fail by the RGEM. It’s going to bust low everywhere.
  23. LVblizzard
    A lot of the short range models show a lull overnight followed by more in the morning. All depends on how the low tracks.
  24. LVblizzard
    They really want an additional 4-12" here? 4", sure...no way we get a foot though.
  25. LVblizzard
    Your total seems awfully low...I have 4" and there are multiple reports exceeding that in the area.
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