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Somehow I still have a little bit of snow left from the 1/20 storm. It never fully went away since it’s been cold and our snowpack has kept getting replenished by small events.

What storm is this? I want to say 2/9/10? I remember that one being in the middle of the week and dumping lots of snow on everyone.

This has been going on for months and it happens seemingly at random. Some attachments will load fully while others only load partially like this. Refreshing the page doesn’t solve the issue either. Is anyone else having this problem?

When even Anthony gives up you know it’s 100% over.

All the other 12z mesos (including the 3km NAM) say the NAM is full of it. As much as I want this thing to come back I can’t trust a model that has done so poorly all winter.

Even with the Thursday threat pretty much dead, the 12z NAM has still found a way to NAM us. Shifted northwest 50+ miles from 6z and gets warning level snow to Philly.

Philly gets 2-3” on the NAM.

They have the support of the 18z NAM so there’s that at least!

OT/Randy’s Hood got nuked…probably for the better. I have no clue how people could post in there every day and not get sick of it. I browsed and posted a little during election season and that was enough for me.

Nothing will ever top March 2001. I was only 7 at the time, so I don’t remember it, but some of the anecdotes I’ve seen on here have been wild. Apparently there was a huge blizzard for I-95 predicted 2 days out, then everything shifted dramatically north at the last minute and the big cities got a brief period of snow that turned quickly to a mix and rain. And of course I’ve heard of the John Bolaris fiasco with that storm.

In the Philly subforum we accepted defeat yesterday, thinking okay, at least it’ll still be a decent storm for DC who hasn’t seen much in recent years. But now it looks like it’ll miss you guys too. I can’t recall another time when the models just kept trending worse and worse and worse for days at a time, to the point where there’s barely even a storm anymore. I’ve been in this hobby for nearly two decades, and while there has obviously been a fair share of storms that look great and then fizzle out, I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a snowstorm threat shit the bed in such a sudden and dramatic fashion like this.

The wind last night blew the decorative pillows off my patio chairs. 4 years living at my current apartment and that has never happened.

Some models have a little bit of interaction with the PV and southern stream as our storm passes well to the east, causing light snow to break out over the area. I can’t really see more than an inch or two out of this even in the best case scenario though.

Has there ever been a mid-range failure quite this massive by the models? Usually when there’s consensus on a big storm 5-6 days out, we get at least something, whether it’s a wintry mix to rain or just getting grazed with light snow. But going from a MECS to absolutely nothing in 2 days is crazy. I genuinely can’t think of another time this has happened.

Had to drive back to Allentown from State College today and the wind was strong enough that it was trying to blow my car into the next lane. Almost 1 am now and it’s still whipping like crazy here. Power has stayed on for most of the Lehigh Valley so far, hopefully it remains on.

Well at least no one made a thread for this in here so we have none of our posters to blame for this threat disappearing.

High wind warning for trash night. Gotta love it!

0z NAM looked very good at 84 FWIW.

March 2017…jackpot went from just NW of I-95 to well inland as the low hugged the coast which introduced mixing issues for lots of people initially projected to remain all snow.

Not true. It’s actually a little better than 12z. But that’s not saying much. Just 1-3” for most of us.

This threat feels like it’s a hair away from becoming a MECS again. It also feels like if one more thing goes wrong this is a whiff north of Philly.

This feels like deja vu with this past Tuesday’s storm. Models show a big snowstorm and then slowly back off until all that’s left is a light, maybe moderate event.

Low res UKMET maps are out. It appears to have held with a solution similar to 12z.

Progressive GFS you mean? The Euro doesn’t have a progressive bias.