LVblizzard

Coming up on 4” in Allentown. Should hit at least 5” looking at radar.

The NAM is either very right or very wrong when it does stuff like that. We like to laugh at it but sometimes it ends up winning in the end. Dumping in Allentown…about 2” on the ground.

That Sunday coastal storm keeps disappearing and then coming back. Almost as if it’s teasing all us weenies.

The RGEM also nailed that snow/sleet fiasco 3 weeks ago. It’s the best of the short range models IMO.

Mesos seem to agree on a stripe of 2-4” somewhere between Philly and the Poconos tomorrow. The question is where exactly does it set up? I’m feeling pretty good in Allentown but the Poconos could do particularly well because of their elevation.

12z HRRR has a solid advisory level event north of the immediate Philly metro tomorrow. Even pushes warning criteria in parts of northern NJ.

Sunday threat isn’t dead yet. GEFS keeps this subforum in the game. RGEM and RRFS bring the precip shield way west too.

GFS remains very interesting for Sunday. RGEM has jumped NW as well.

NAM and RGEM have a 1-3” event NW of 202 as well. Would really like to at least see something, it’s been weeks since we’ve had anything wintry aside from Sunday’s graupel squalls.

Don’t sleep on Saturday either. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a stripe of 1-3” somewhere in the region.

Add the 12z Canadian to the list. Wraps up the storm just too late for the Philly area but north of I-80 gets the goods. Huge shift from a nothingburger at 0z.

You know why I like that 18z GFS fantasy storm? Because that’s the day I’m supposed to drive back from New England. It makes perfect sense that we’d time a HECS perfectly like that.

How has Patullo not been fired yet? What is Lurie waiting for?

Lots of potential for that 1/17-1/19 timeframe. Especially if that midweek storm threat fizzles and gets out of the way.

Booked a ski trip to Vermont after MLK Day so expect an I-95 special around 1/20-1/23. That’s how it works, right?

There is some incredibly dense fog outside right now. I can barely see across the street. Visibility can’t be much more than 1/10 mile with this.

Dusting of snow in Allentown from this little blob on the radar. Airport will probably report like .1” or .2” if anything.

Tomorrow night looks pretty interesting. Snow showers and squalls as everyone is heading to/leaving parties. Hopefully it’s not too chaotic. I will be out doing DoorDash and being extra vigilant of idiots on the road.

I’ve never seen a storm as consistently modeled as January 2016. Aside from the 2 days of runs which suppressed the best snow south of Philly, the models were completely locked in on a huge snowstorm for a week and a half. I remember looking at a Euro ensemble run 10 days out with a big storm - which is wild to see on an ensemble mean that far out - and just knowing we’d have lots of long days and nights of tracking ahead. And then by day 7 every model run showed this monster storm crawling up the coast. I can’t remember any other storms that showed up day after day for so long like that.

Some parts of Allentown and Bethlehem just picked up a coating from a lake effect streamer.

CAD really working its magic keeping temps in the low 40s rather than near 50. Looks like that ice on my sidewalk and driveway will be sticking around for awhile.

Thank god that’s over. Just a brutal storm to track and experience. My least favorite in recent memory.

About an inch of a sleety mess here. I just shoveled it and cleared off my car and it was not fun.

I’m a dasher and not even thinking about heading out tonight, even with a $4 per order promo. I drive a FWD sedan and it would struggle hard on this ice.

What a weird ass storm…still sleet here in Allentown but snow to the south near Pottstown and also well to the north in NY. This is like the icing on the cake of this mess. Just impossible to predict this stuff.