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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    Call me crazy but I still think the Lehigh Valley gets an advisory level event while warning level snow approaches Philly. I’ve seen these types of storms come 50 miles north in the last day or two too many times before. It feels like a matter of when it’ll happen, not if.
  2. LVblizzard
    No surprises on the Euro. It holds.
  3. LVblizzard
    SREF mean went a little north again. Sign of things to come for the 0z suite?
  4. LVblizzard
    Dusting on the grass in Allentown. Steady snow has stopped but some flurries remain.
  5. LVblizzard
    Ends up being a little better but the MA forum still wins.
  6. LVblizzard
    Looks like a…uh, never mind.
  7. LVblizzard
    Not sure if we’re about to fully get NAM’d or not but this run should be better than 12z.
  8. LVblizzard
    This is the kind of event where I REALLY wish we had a radar near I-81 in the coal region.
  9. LVblizzard
    There’s also some confluence we have to deal with in the upper Midwest. Although that could be related to that lobe over Maine.
  10. LVblizzard
    Those squalls in central PA look like they mean business. Hoping they hold together so we can get an inch or so.
  11. LVblizzard
    Light snow has started in Allentown. Not sticking yet.
  12. LVblizzard
    For what it’s worth (probably not much) the 15z SREF bumped north a bit.
  13. LVblizzard
    Radar is blossoming in central PA. Looks like it’s headed for the Philly burbs.
  14. LVblizzard
    I would be very surprised if this storm trended down to just flurries and snow showers for us. In the Poconos, sure, but I’m confident accumulating snow will get to the Lehigh Valley.
  15. LVblizzard
    It’s called the crazy uncle for a reason. As much as it sucks it’s still better than the abomination it showed last night.
  16. LVblizzard
    GFS gives SE PA weenies hope again. Warning level snow up to Quakertown.
  17. LVblizzard
    12z models so far (NAM, RGEM, ICON) aren’t horrible for us. They all get accumulating snow into pretty much the entire Mt. Holly CWA, except maybe Sussex County NJ. But another tick south and I will start to get very worried.
  18. LVblizzard
    December was halfway decent so I wouldn’t consider us “snow starved.” But yes this storm is a really annoying one.
  19. LVblizzard
    It’s the hope that kills you…
  20. LVblizzard
    12z NAM comes in line with the model consensus. Heavy snow stays south of Philly and I-80 on north gets nada.
  21. LVblizzard
    With that new lobe of confluence showing up and pressing down into Quebec and Maine, we need this storm to buck the trend of slowing down and speed up again. If it’s too slow then that lobe comes crashing in and squashes the whole thing towards DC.
  22. LVblizzard
    Happened somewhat in Jan. 2016 too. 4-5 days out a lot of the models started to shift south and some even missed the Philly area. Then 2-3 days out the slow north trend began again and it ended up being a historic storm for all of us.
  23. LVblizzard
    Euro starts off fine but ends up positively tilting the trough as it approaches the Mid-Atlantic, as opposed to the GFS which amps it up and keeps it closed off. Pretty ugly run.
  24. LVblizzard
    I’ve seen the UKMET do this before. In February 2021 it showed snow completely missing eastern PA 4 days out. I ended up getting 2 1/2 feet. Edit: found it lol
  25. LVblizzard
    Started a thread for this one. If this storm trends back south towards suppression you guys can blame me.
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