Just like a summer line of storms, the squalls missed me and then formed just to the east of me. Sigh.
At least we have Tuesday…maybe Friday too if you believe the GFS.
Pretty much every run in the 0z model suite finishes with a general 2-4" for the Philly area, maybe some isolated 5" areas towards the LV/Poconos.
Friday-Saturday is starting to show some potential too.
Henry Margusity puts out a snow map that has I-95 in the bullseye and suddenly all the models go to crap. It’s crazy how often that happens. The Curse of Margusity will never be denied.
All snow again in Allentown.
Decided to go out and deliver some DoorDash tonight. Roads are bad but not horrible. People need to tip more in bad weather though!
Feels like if you’re north of the turnpike, this will start to mix with and/or change to snow again as the heavy rates arrive and the column cools.
Still snowy in Allentown…about an inch here so far.
18z NAM/RGEM/GFS all colder. Every little change is so stressful for me near Allentown. I can hear I-78 from my yard and that very well may be the dividing line between snow and rain/mix tomorrow evening.
Models have been trending quicker with the timing of the start and end of the snow tomorrow. Hopefully this means the warm air doesn’t quite get here until after most of the precip has passed.
RGEM seems pretty reasonable to me. Not as cold as the NAM, not as blowtorchy as the FV3. Good hit for the LV and Poconos. It’s been pretty consistent showing something like this in the past few runs.