I just worry we get dryslotted while the Poconos and Philly burbs both get crushed. It’s happened before and it’s a concern for me with every storm like this. You never know where the banding will set up until it actually does.
And the latest RAP brings the heavy bands back into the LV. At this point it’s basically just entertainment looking at these unless there’s some crazy last minute trend.
For SE PA, yes, but the precip cutoff is well north. State College, Williamsport, and Scranton are close to heavy snow again. Not that it matters for this subforum but it’s a clear sign that the south trend has stopped for good.
The HRRR has held steady in its past few runs instead of continuing to trend south. Latest run has 6-9” for most of us with snow still falling everywhere.
I can’t even imagine how the forecasters in Scranton/Wilkes-Barre down to the northern Poconos are feeling right now. This was all but a lock for a major snowstorm for them. And it all fell apart just like that. Fortunately it doesn’t look like there’s enough time for this to bust badly in the Lehigh Valley. Worst case, we get like 4” of moderate snow overnight.
Was March 7-8 the storm that knocked out power to much of eastern PA? I remember that clearly, I was in the Poconos for it and the forecast was 1-3”, instead we got over 6” with blizzard conditions at times.
If the NAM comes as far south as the RAP then it’s time to start worrying a little. This thing isn’t gonna miss us like it might in Scranton, but another sizable shift south leaves us with 2-4” or 3-6” instead of 6-10”+.