I just don’t understand where these aggressive numbers from Mt. Holly are coming from. There is virtually no model support for widespread 4-6.” Aside from maybe the HREF.
Just updated my page, I stuck with 2-4” for the Lehigh Valley. Not sure where all these ultra aggressive forecasts are coming from. I’d be more surprised if my forecast busted high rather than low.
NAM and the other American hi-res models vs. everything else. Quite the battle we have here. Hopefully we get some clearer answers by tomorrow's 12z suite.
Still a steady light snow out there. We briefly mixed with sleet but we’re all snow again. Hoping this little band keeps expanding and drops another inch or so.
The GFS had today’s storm completely OTS and not even close 3 days out. It always seems to get completely lost in the days leading up to a storm, then joins the party way too late.
6z and 12z models generally trending better for a moderate event on Friday. The potential for something big is still there but the consensus seems to be a near miss.
Still snowing lightly here in Allentown. Looks like about 3” here. Hopefully we get some backbuilding going on as we’re just barely missing that precip in the Philly burbs right now.
The snow is supposed to pick up early in the morning as the coastal gets going. That’s why we’ve seen the NWS and every news outlet increase the totals.