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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. That high to the north is critical. Even though the shortwave was more amped this run, the isobars from the high sagged to the south more which led to a colder solution.
  2. That zone between I-78, I-80, and I-81 is the place to be for this one. Coal country is gonna get hammered.
  3. Just changed over an hour ago. Coating on the ground. Expecting an inch or two before it ends.
  4. I hate to say it but the GFS is out to lunch. It weakens the energy for no apparent reason which leads to a more strung-out and progressive solution. At the same time, I also think the NAM is too amped. I’m liking a CMC/Euro type solution right now.
  5. The GFS is nice but I’m suspicious with how weak it looks at 500mb. I think it’s up to its old tricks and moving the storm east off the coast too quickly.
  6. Don't sleep on Monday. It's looking like there will be a stripe of some pretty solid amounts somewhere between I-80 and the M-D line.
  7. This definitely looks like one to get excited about. A lot would have to go wrong for SE PA to get nothing out of this.
  8. Pretty strong winds here in Bath, PA as the rain gets lighter. I’d say sustained at about 20 mph with gusts to 40-45.
  9. Drove to work from Allentown to Bath. 20-25 minute commute took about 30. No flash flooding...yet. I imagine there will be in the next hour or two.
  10. Moderate-heavy rain in Allentown. Starting to get a little breezy as well. Death bands right on our doorstep according to radar.
  11. Short range models are very interesting for the Lehigh Valley. Looks like we could see actual tropical storm force winds (not gusts) for a short time tomorrow. Which makes sense given that Isaias made landfall stronger than expected. Hoping the power stays on at home and work.
  12. Back to all snow here in Bath. Wonder if it’ll stay that way for the rest of the storm. Some models showed a brief period of sleet but changed us back to snow.
  13. Snow/sleet mix at my work in Bath, about 5 miles north of Bethlehem. We have just shy of 3 inches on the ground.
  14. NAM is a major outlier. No model is even close to being that dry. I’m thinking 3-5” for the ABE area, pretty much in line with the NWS.
  15. I’m struggling to understand how much of eastern PA gets 6-12” on all these models. The low passes through upstate NY and the high is in an okay position, but not great. What am I missing here?
  16. White rain in Allentown, not sticking to anything so far.
  17. Bypassed the rain and started as snow in Allentown. Steady light snow currently falling.
  18. Second heavy squall of the day in Bath. Everything is covered with a nice coating of snow.
  19. Bath, PA...just went out to my car and it’s covered in ice. Luckily the drive home from work is 95% on treated roads.
  20. Steady light snow at work in Bath, PA. Dusting on the deck.
  21. I’d say you guys are good for mostly snow from this. 3-6” and some freezing rain tomorrow morning. Models have been trending colder, they even keep Allentown mostly frozen now with a burst of heavy snow at the beginning.
  22. Light snow in Allentown. Not sticking to anything. Few more hours to go by the looks of the radar, maybe we can get a coating to an inch out of this.
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