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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. Anyone see the 6z GFS? Euro came pretty close at 0z too.
  2. Around 3” in Philly near the airport. Really wish I could have been at home for this one. Looks like my house straddled the northern edge of that death band.
  3. The NAM pulled this same crap right before the last storm, cutting way back on totals right before the storm starts. Not sure I’m buying it, especially with the radar looking good.
  4. 18z NAM came well north of 12z. Looks like the Euro.
  5. If the NAM and GFS come north at 18z it’s time to start getting excited! I’d take another 4-5” in a heartbeat.
  6. Some of the GEFS members say Friday night-Saturday could be significant. Ceiling is high-ish with this one but we need a lot to go right. Most likely scenario still seems to be a widespread 1-3”/2-4” event.
  7. 0z RGEM looking decent for Friday night into Saturday with a region-wide 2-3”.
  8. It is actually comical how far off yesterday’s 12z Euro was. Many of the areas in the 2-4” zone got a foot. And most of south Jersey away from Philly got shut out or close to it.
  9. Euro came north and now gives the region 1-2” Saturday.
  10. I hear tree limbs cracking every few minutes outside my place. Hoping my power stays on here. There aren’t many outages around me yet.
  11. Got about 9” with my shoddy measuring technique. Storm is winding down now. Not looking forward to shoveling this cement.
  12. I’m at the northern end of that band right now. Coming down hard. 1-2”/hr rates.
  13. Yesterday’s 6z and 12z Euro runs busted horribly. It had 3-6” in the Poconos and they’re already approaching a foot.
  14. Much colder than modeled leading to higher ratios too. Maybe those 10:1 weenie maps weren’t so far off.
  15. Just woke up in Allentown and holy crap, we have half a foot already! And it looks like nothing but straight rippage on the radar for the next 3-4 hours. Could we hit a foot??
  16. I mean, I’ve seen snow at 41F plenty of times before. But it’s almost always some flurries from decaying lake effect bands in the fall or spring. At KOP right now every level 850mb and below is above freezing. For now, anyway.
  17. It’s raining in Allentown so I highly doubt it’s snowing in KOP.
  18. Radar filling in very nicely in MD and central PA. This thing is about to get wild in 3-4 hours!
  19. Hi-res RGEM went crazy for the LV and Poconos!
  20. I just worry we get dryslotted while the Poconos and Philly burbs both get crushed. It’s happened before and it’s a concern for me with every storm like this. You never know where the banding will set up until it actually does.
  21. And the latest RAP brings the heavy bands back into the LV. At this point it’s basically just entertainment looking at these unless there’s some crazy last minute trend.
  22. This. This is the model I choose to believe.
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