Around 3” in Philly near the airport. Really wish I could have been at home for this one. Looks like my house straddled the northern edge of that death band.
The NAM pulled this same crap right before the last storm, cutting way back on totals right before the storm starts. Not sure I’m buying it, especially with the radar looking good.
Some of the GEFS members say Friday night-Saturday could be significant. Ceiling is high-ish with this one but we need a lot to go right. Most likely scenario still seems to be a widespread 1-3”/2-4” event.
It is actually comical how far off yesterday’s 12z Euro was. Many of the areas in the 2-4” zone got a foot. And most of south Jersey away from Philly got shut out or close to it.
Just woke up in Allentown and holy crap, we have half a foot already! And it looks like nothing but straight rippage on the radar for the next 3-4 hours. Could we hit a foot??
I mean, I’ve seen snow at 41F plenty of times before. But it’s almost always some flurries from decaying lake effect bands in the fall or spring. At KOP right now every level 850mb and below is above freezing. For now, anyway.
I just worry we get dryslotted while the Poconos and Philly burbs both get crushed. It’s happened before and it’s a concern for me with every storm like this. You never know where the banding will set up until it actually does.
And the latest RAP brings the heavy bands back into the LV. At this point it’s basically just entertainment looking at these unless there’s some crazy last minute trend.