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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    The trend within 3 days this winter has been to weaken the confluence, resulting in a more north storm. Even if 0z models keep going south this is far from over.
  2. LVblizzard
    I wonder if there’s a chance that phases in?
  3. LVblizzard
    Euro ensembles are getting a little iffy for northern areas. Really hope that trend stops.
  4. LVblizzard
    Model consensus is very, very good if you take away the UKMET.
  5. LVblizzard
    The UKMET is the nightmare scenario.
  6. LVblizzard
    There’s a clear trend south from tonight to this afternoon with the location of the coastal low. Reminds me of tracking the Jan. 2016 storm. One more shift south and I might start to get a little worried here in the Lehigh Valley.
  7. LVblizzard
    Euro torches the turnpike for like 6 hours, that’s why totals are lower there. Still a great run.
  8. LVblizzard
    Really liking where I'm at in the Lehigh Valley...even the warmer solutions with some mixing still give us 6-10" here. Gonna be nice to enjoy a long-duration storm all the way from Sunday to Tuesday.
  9. LVblizzard
    Everybody wins on the Euro! Solid foot or so for most of us. And there is potential for it to be even more epic too.
  10. LVblizzard
    It all depends on how much energy swings around the base of the trough. If there’s a lot, the low tucks into the coast and that CCB does form. If the energy is just loose and all over the place, the initial thump may be nice but Monday and Tuesday’s snow will be pretty light for the most part as the ULL swings through.
  11. LVblizzard
    Seems like this isn’t the storm for those hoping for 2-3”/hr rates and thundersnow...but if you like steady light to moderate snow for days, you’ll love this storm.
  12. LVblizzard
    A coating of snow and sleet remains in the Lehigh Valley tonight. Probably gonna melt tomorrow.
  13. LVblizzard
    GFS snows for over two days straight here. Mother of God!!!
  14. LVblizzard
    GFS thermals are useless. If there’s a huge CCB like that it will most likely be snow.
  15. LVblizzard
    Snow/sleet mix in Bath. Huge flakes. We have a dusting on the ground already.
  16. LVblizzard
    Looks like this is becoming a serious threat with decent model agreement. Could be a long-duration storm too, tonight’s CMC shows nearly 2 days straight of precip from Sunday night to Tuesday afternoon.
  17. LVblizzard
    Finally changing back to snow in Allentown.
  18. LVblizzard
    It should change over very shortly.
  19. LVblizzard
    Heavy sleet in Allentown but the snow line is minutes away looking at the radar.
  20. LVblizzard
    Looks like the sleet line is starting to slow significantly as it approaches Allentown.
  21. LVblizzard
    Ripping like crazy here in Bath. Near blizzard conditions.
  22. LVblizzard
    Not with a 2”/hr rate like some of the models have been showing.
  23. LVblizzard
    Moderate snow in Bath, PA. Heavy stuff looks to be right on my doorstep. Hoping for at least 4 hours before sleet.
  24. LVblizzard
    First flakes in Bath, about 5 miles north of Bethlehem.
  25. LVblizzard
    Made my final call for the Lehigh Valley on my page which is 8-14”. When the snow falls, it’ll fall hard, but I see sleet and a dry slot screwing things up here for a few hours in the evening.
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