LongBeachSurfFreak

Ginkos tend to drop leaves faster then any other species once the change color regardless of a hard freeze. My tulip tree did the same thing earlier today as well, just dropped the rest of it’s Leaves despite no wind. Tuesday night/Wednesday anything that survived last night is toast.

23 in wantagh last night. Very impressive cold. Any annuals are shriveled. Perennials and remaining leaves are going right into winter mode.

Based on?

Yeah, allot went wrong last winter. That’s why I think we at least make it to average this winter with one or two snowy periods. The big wild card is another blockbuster

I agree. Patterns keep repeating and getting stuck. I would look for a major -PNA. I would be fairly confident to just lock in something similar to last winter. The big factor of wether this winter is a dud will be getting a period of NAO blocking. That was the difference between last years nightmare at the coast and 2018’s home run

A million things will change a million times. The pattern is conducive. That’s all we know now.

33 with heavy frost in wantagh this morning thinking inland and elevated for this weeks first snow.

Stuck and extreme patterns are out future. Hopefully we have a stuck pattern this winter that’s conducive for snow

First frost in wantagh this morning. Moving to Malvern this weekend. So I’ll be in a new location for obs

Yup! Perfect timing for this first cold shot. It’s not last November but it’s something

Today cannot be good for early season snow making. Anything made already is getting rocked. About as good of a melt scenario as you can get!

The problem is, it has become a political football.

I was in the east end (Neptune ave) at the time and do not remember more then a coating on cars and grass. Interesting, with such extreme snow patterns in that one I wonder if being west of Long Beach road and with less bay between you and Lb island meant more snow

Nothing at all in wantagh, car coverer in Long Beach. Interesting snow patterns with that one. Nothing on the north shore hills near the warm sound but a strip of 2” around the LIE

That’s an incredible micro climate spot. I drive past you almost ever weekend over the winter. I always look forward to the climb to see snow differences with elevation!

Unreal, it’s not the first time and it will not be the last.

Ready to do some exploring this winter with the full icon pass. We really need a full scale pattern change to avoid cutters and lots of ice.

Great shot!!!

I was way too young but from the story’s I have been told it was the storm of all time. I know a guy that surfed rockaway and said it was 20’ clean and ridable. He got injured after washing over a jetty.

Winds will be onshore in NJ, resulting in sloppy unsurfable waves. Offshore on li

It’s all about your perception: I think this fall has been incredible so far. Hurricane swell after hurricane swell. Followed by a solid nor’easter. A surfers dream. This one will not work out for New Jersey but there are spots on Long Island that will have world class waves this week.

Going with a full Icon this year. Based at Stratton as that’s where my house share is. My friends in the house are all on the ski patrol so they aren’t leaving Stratton ever. The good thing for me this winter is I’ll be able to get out and explore. Planning on doing killington a bunch and a late season sugarloaf expedition. That mountain is big on my list of places to ride. I’m also doing my first out west trip to aspen for spring fling in April. Heres to hoping we have an ice free winter!!!

Yeah, that seems about right. The amazing thing about. Swell with periods of 15+ seconds is the amount of energy they contain. Their wave lengths are huge comparatively as is their speed. The start feeling bottom in deep water and bend and refract based on local bathemotry. So some breaks will seem relatively small and closed out, and other that can focus swell bigger. So your 4’ swell at 17 seconds quickly becomes a 10’ breaking wave. Points are the way to go on that type of swell. Lucky for me on of the best on the east coast south of RI happens to be clos

Lorenzo should be a prolific swell producer. Huge size and lots of captured fetch before it fully recurves. Obviously there will be major swell decay but I think this one puts out some big numbers with 16/17 second swell for us next week.

East. Long period swells have the ability to bend and refract some areas will be bigger or smaller then expected. Really comes down to local knowledge in regards to what areas will and will not see bigger waves. If I were up in NE I would be looking for points.