Just had a blitz of heavy rain and strong winds at Jones beach. The rain definitely mixed down some winds. Swell has yet to arrive. Here’s my view for the day.
NYC bans anyone from entering the water. Including surfers. Canceling a long run body surf competition Saturday during premium conditions. Talk about over reactionary
Another front that had jumped the city only to fire when getting offshore. Not sure what mechanism is causing this but it has happened several times recently
True, but 38 was far far far worse for areas east of the Nassau Suffolk border. Cat 3 winds and a tremendous surge that can only be estimated between 15-20’.
Then there’s 1635 which is the king of north east hurricanes
Check out the obs from the ny harbor buoy as the special marine warned storm went by.
Def could have been a water spout in the vicinity
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44065
Not a great swell producer for Long Island and New England.
Its an issue of fetch more so then strength. The tiny size just isn’t going to cut it for creating much swell with periods over 12 seconds. Any captured fetch will be aimed towards the SE. I still think we see some swell with sets to maybe 5-6’ for south facing beaches. But with swell periods below 13 seconds beach washovers and erosion seems unlikely.
The real challenge is for cheaper and more effective solar cells. I saw something on solar cells that were super thin like film and this flexible. They could hypothetically be wrapped around pretty much any object. That’s the holy grail of solar technology.
Another storm that would have been lost pre satellite and further not named even a decade or two ago. I’m all for better and more accurate science but when comparing seasons historically I believe storms such as Chantel should be left out.
My moneys on that scenario right now. We need overall shear to relax and the atmosphere to moisten more as we get deeper into the heart of the season. Too many things need to be just perfect for this one.
To be excepted this time of year. The MDR is a shear fest currently. If we can get something into that Hatteras to Bermuda zone this season it’s game time.
All of which wouldn’t have been named pre satellite era. Regardless it’s an interesting trend when you include the early satellite era. Increasing SS temps should continue the earlier starts to the season. Eventually we could see seasons similar to the Wpac which essentially run year round.
Not a great track for a high end landfall. Trajectory has too much land interaction before landfall. Good for what I assume are poor people living in substandard housing. All of the money in India is in the major city’s with the rest of the country still relatively poor.
At least there is some positive news on that front today. Still plenty of prime snow season left. The island especially does well late season when near shore water temps are cold. Which they will be after this next cold blast.