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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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This has to be one of the most boring stretches of weather we have had. Once the wind picks up Friday leaves are going to fall like crazy here on the uws.
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35 at the wantagh meso, so I’m sure frost verifies on the south shore of Nassau. There wasn’t any yet when I left for work on the uws at 445. Temps fell an additional 2-3 degrees after I left which should have made the difference
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If the wind goes dead calm tonight even jfk has a chance for 32. You will have frost on colder surfaces tonight regardless. Lga and cpk have no shot
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Which city has the worst weather?
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to a topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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That’s ridiculous. Same issue here on Long Island in the Hamptons. Areas where workers used to Live now sell in the millions. So everyone is forced to commute in and out to work. It’s unsustainable. I was able to find a nice house to rent near Stratton with friends for this winter, but we are all late 30s with Careers and are there to ride not party. When I was younger and we did party our rentals did take a beating.
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OBS and nowcast 9PM tonight-8A Wednesday for a general 2-5" rain, isolated 8" possible. 40-60 kt damaging wind likely Tuesday-early Wednesday. Focus for damaging wind and heaviest rain is the I95 corridor to the coasts. Power outages esp CT LI.
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Get on top the ridge by the lighthouse and I’m sure you will crack 60 in no time. Meanwhile here on the uws it’s dead calm- 228 replies
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OBS and nowcast 9PM tonight-8A Wednesday for a general 2-5" rain, isolated 8" possible. 40-60 kt damaging wind likely Tuesday-early Wednesday. Focus for damaging wind and heaviest rain is the I95 corridor to the coasts. Power outages esp CT LI.
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some very impressive gusts on the cape sustained at 60 gusting to 75. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=chtm3 also 33 foot wave heights just NE of Boston, there is going to be damage from this in coastal eastern NE. wind field seems tight, almost tropical like. And I think a big reason this has underperformed in our area- 228 replies
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Checking the buoys the strong winds are still way off shore. This is going to have to move west fast before the storm starts to occlude and winds die.
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Any insight on how much snow fell in the Sierras? I’d have to imagine the snow level was high, but above it many feet fell. Good start to the winter snow pack!
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That’s hard to say. You would need to run the exact pattern with January temps to find out exactly. This could easily be an inland blizzard in January. Coast would see something like March 19. It’s been very dry near the coast which could cause rain to runoff faster then normal. Could easily see flash flooding issues in the usual spots. winds look strong enough to take down a few trees as it’s been a while since we have had winds of the magnitude from that direction with trees in full leaf
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In our old Climate this was definitely true. The problem is we have seen ultra persistent patterns in recent years. The question is how long this can hold. It’s not what we want to see.
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Nightmare pattern for us if it were mid winter. We need to see big big changes if we want a snowy winter.
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Exactly. We saw what happened after the record cold in November 18/19.
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That’s really the new normal. I’m sure you have seen me talk about by sea ice theory. It just takes the Arctic take longer to cool when you need to time to create ice. Today is great! I love this weather when I get hot working I just shed the jacket.
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I have been trying. I just got approval to do a tree of heaven removal with my garden club in Morningside Park in Manhattan. They were loaded with them the last time I checked, but only spotty elsewhere so far here on the uws
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Hopefully we get some strong storms for some solid rain. We are starting to flash to drought. Gone are the days of nice even precipitation distribution. Feast or famine
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That would be great. We need the rain as things have really dried out the last couple weeks city, east. And. To break the monotony of one of the most boring weather periods possible.
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Exactly what I’m hoping for. We have had serious cold and snow in Vermont the last few Novembers. I distinctly remember thinking, wow this is more like mid winter conditions only multiple occasions. That through out west means business currently. But the rubber band can snap quick.
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I was just thinking the exact same thing. There’s only so much water they can pump at any given time. I’m starting to get a little nervous about the early season. Hopefully we see a snap to much colder in November that we have seen in recent years
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On the positive side of things the extension of the growing season is pretty cool. M vegetable gardens are still producing nicely. Annuals stay healthy now well into November. Assuming we do not have one of those shock Arctic outbreaks. We went from full growing season to the teens in 18/19.
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Our precipitation patterns have become increasingly volatile. After the extremely wet summer we have dried out again. Any fall color you see from the city south and east is from water stressed trees. Tough times to be in the horticulture field.
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2021 Atlantic Hurricane season
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
Not surprising with the secondary peak. I would Be shocked if we do not see another major somewhere in the Caribbean before the end of the season