LongBeachSurfFreak
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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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When I think of that thermometer, I think of a deep forest in lord of the rings New Zealand. Meanwhile 100 yards east it’s 10 degrees warmer on 5th avenue.
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Unfortunately there are only 3 dominant tree species in the Candian Tiaga. Balsim fir, Black Spruce and Larch. They are dominant because the can handle the extreme temperatures. They are all highly flamable. Until temperatures rise significantly (5c) that isn’t going to change. My theory is that the beginning of substantial climate change is acting to dry the forests out. Normally they would remain rather wet and cool in the summer.
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I would love to see some data on the amount of forest fires in the Canadian Tiaga forests historically. That area is basically uninhabitable so if fires are significantly increasing is size and frequency it’s a good climate change marker. I would think they have, so to the over the top patterns we have seen. And of course the smoke events here the last few years.
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That’s not correct. Downsloping winds are compressional, heating and drying the air. So an offshore flow in this area, given high enough 850 temps is capable of 90 degree temps no matter how high the soil moisture content is.
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Nice, figured the lighting would be amazing. Radar looked like best winds were south. I got to experience a real super cell in Dallas back in the day, absolutely other level compared to storms in NY!
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Wow that is some radar, I would be super excited if I were you. Definitely prolific lighting and some serious hail in those things!
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There’s a pretty strong sea breeze now at jones beach. After the first slightly warm day on the beach it is now freezing again. Water is a carribean turquoise, which is highly deceiving.
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Yeah at a certain point there is now where left to put the cars. I was just thinking this would be a pretty epic pattern in winter. A nice snow storm Thursday followed by days and days of heavy snow squalls.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
The lowering elevation through melting of ice sheets like west Antarctica and Greenland is powerful feedback. Could easily runaway and rapidly takeoff. It’s the type of feedback that is unstoppable regardless if we prevent further warming. -
We have the air show at jones so it was a beyond capacity crowd today. Believe it or not there were a few people in the water.
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It’s freezing at Jones beach again. Fully clouded over, the never ending wind whipping. Three layers and I’m shivering and I’m a very large guy who doesn’t really get cold. Being up in a life gaurd stand fully exposed to the wind will do that.
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Going to feel even colder then yesterday morning on the beach. Winds are significantly stronger.
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It’s actually not too bad currently at jones beach, almost full sunshine. Significantly better then this morning.
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54mph gust at Nantucket. Impressive for a late May coastal.
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It’s really only happening up on the ski slopes, all infrastructure in southern Vermont is 2500’ or below. To answer the question about the low track, it’s hard to say what would have happened with a similar low and track in winter. Precip shield tends to be broader. Probably would have been a mix along the coast today. But this last band coming through likely would have been at least a few inches of snow.
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The trees are leafed out just below that camera at 3,000’. Could get nasty overnight. Above 3,000’ there are no deciduous trees just a mix of red spruce and balsam fir, a remnant of the borial forest that once covered the northeast after the ice age
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Best that happens there is a few mangled flakes in the air. Really need to be above 3,000’ for accumulations with such a marginal airmass. I mean it’s the end of May heres 3850’ in southern Vermont
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Definitely possible on top of the pocono plateau. Elevations over 2,000’. It’s been snowing and accumulating all day on top of the southern greens in Vermont.
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Nantucket gusting to 45mph and increasing hourly. It’s out there, just to our east. Personally I’ll pass on winds like that this time of year. It would just make a mess.
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Hypothetically more like 3-6” in the metro. Best banding has been setting up just east of the Nassua Suffolk border.
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Once we get out this cloudy cool pattern things will explode. We are nearing peak solar insulation which is what causes the best growth.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Good read. The lag effect between warming and melting is elephant in the room. So even if we stay at 1.5c it would take centuries to play out. It’s the feed back cycles that haven’t occurred yet that should raise the most concern. -
I get that, I was just pointing out cool and dry is worse for plants then cool and wet. It’s tends to dry out the leaves regardless of lack of frost. Tonight is a great example, low of 49 forecast with a gusty wind. Not a great night for warm weather vegetables. Thursday nights forecast low is also 49 but it will be raining which will help lock in moisture in broadleaves like those of Italian Eggplant.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
I agree that fusion solves further increasing GHG levels. But that still leaves us at a level that corresponds to significantly more warming then has yet to be realized. My premise is that energy being essentially limitless allows for technology that was once too power hungry to be environmentally and economically feasible. Carbon capture may very well be feasible when removing the energy equation paradox. Desalination is another prime example. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
It’s not a gimmick. Once fusion becomes a reality. And with AI advancing at warp speed a solution to making fusion viable could occur significantly sooner then previously thought. limitless clean energy makes carbon capture and sequestration real. And it just might save the planet.
