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SnowGoose69

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Everything posted by SnowGoose69

  1. SnowGoose69
    The end of the ensemble runs look to perhaps be signaling the soon to be breakdown of the pattern as they are retrograding the ridge out west but it could ultimately be 2/15 or later before that happens
  2. SnowGoose69
    For areas near you to get involved this has to amp up and get going earlier but that is certainly possible given the setup that this could trend that way.
  3. SnowGoose69
    LOL. Florida would shatter record lows in some spots if that 120 hour ICON verified
  4. SnowGoose69
    Central Park ended with 11.4
  5. SnowGoose69
    You can see how just N of Central Park in NE NJ there's totals of 13-14, definitely a sharp increase where it stayed snow
  6. SnowGoose69
    Depends on if we go to FZRAPL. They went from 7.2 to 8.8 from 1pm to 345pm so probably could get to 10.5-11 if we stay mainly sleet
  7. SnowGoose69
    NYC record was only one not from 1/25/2000 I think
  8. SnowGoose69
    This will be a test for the RRFS to see if its idea of the line pushing back SE is right.
  9. SnowGoose69
    Its unlikely I think they'd add more than 1-2 more inches anyway, though they probably did get an inch from 1-2pm
  10. SnowGoose69
    Yeah the good news is it seems the RRFS is close to as good as the NAM and better than the HRRR on this. The HRRR actually picked up on it this event, probably because it was such strong warm advection
  11. SnowGoose69
    They had 7.2 at 1pm
  12. SnowGoose69
    Yeah based on measurement of 7.2 and EWR 8.0 I think we know those are off unless ratios came down so far the last 3 hours they averaged out 9 or 10:1 in the end
  13. SnowGoose69
    I have heard EWR was 7.7 as of 1pm, not official, it may be near that
  14. SnowGoose69
    The liquid equivalent at NYC of .73 seems high relative to LGA/EWR/JFK unless they just have been under heavy banding.
  15. SnowGoose69
    Yes. I think even LGA/JFK have some freezing rain like 01-04z maybe as things really lighten up
  16. SnowGoose69
    The Central Park cam at 72nd street you can see the plow go by and within 10 minutes its covered up
  17. SnowGoose69
    JFK now at 5, EWR 7, NYC had .17 liquid this hour! I think JFK may be undermeasuring a bit, they do often times in windy events.
  18. SnowGoose69
    PHL over to SNPL. EWR on their SPECI just now has had .09 liquid this hour already so maybe 2-3 inches again
  19. SnowGoose69
    EWR 2/5 now .09 last hour...JFK reported .06 but no snow remark total for the hour. NYC had .13 liquid
  20. SnowGoose69
    Looking outside I swear 2 inches has fallen in past 30 minutes
  21. SnowGoose69
    The ratios will begin to fall to like 8 or 9:1 by 18Z probably but you'd think there will be amounts now of 10-12 in some spots before it changes
  22. SnowGoose69
    LGA and NYC had .12 and .10 liquid past hour. LGA now reporting 3 on the ground 2 last hour
  23. SnowGoose69
    I think there will be many 7s-8s-9s but getting over that unless rates go to 2-3 inches an hour after 15Z will be hard
  24. SnowGoose69
    I think they may get saved a bit by sleet but I’m not highly optimistic
  25. SnowGoose69
    Does now look like NE side of ATL metro will get hit hard. Didn’t think they’d do it a few hours ago but even think down to the airport now makes 31-32 by 4-5am but those areas may benefit from the dryslot more once they are under the threshold
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