CoolHandMike

I tried seeding a spot in my backyard earlier this year, and it sorta kinda took--the previous owners had held a bonfire in that spot right before we closed, grrrr. Anyhow, if you're familiar with the janitor from Futurama, I always made an effort to use his voice whenever my wife was within earshot: "Mmm hmm, yup. Just a-waterin' muh dirt patch. Mmm hmm, yup." So yeah, I totally get it you guys. What I DON'T get is how stinkin' warm and humid it still is out there. We're about to be in meteorological AND astronomical fall. This has got to break eventually.

Looking at those nearly stationary cells just south and along the MD line. That's been the story of this summer, hasn't it? Hope Ellicott City will be ok. Anyway, I don't see this moving north any time soon though. Slightly cooler today in the field, mid-eighties and mostly overcast all day made for a much more pleasant day in the hazmat suit compared to the rest of the week. Still waiting for the humidity to taper off.

Got .83" as of now. Nice, gently rolling thunder and the occasional flash in the distance. Looking forward to our mini-cooldown tomorrow to close out my field work for the week.

.31" in the gauge. There was a lull so I figured I'd throw open both garage doors and get a breeze while breaking down the trash and recycling. NOPE. Sure, it may be 67°F, but that comes with zero breeze and 95% humidity. I. Am. Soaked.

Got a nifty little shelf cloud on the storm coming my way. I'll post a pic in a bit.

True, but I'm seeing only one day under 80° in the ten-day forecast, with nothing below 60 at night, and that's kind of alarming. Tomorrow it's supposed to be 89 with heat index in the mid 90's. This doesn't feel right, but I don't have any data at the moment to support it... I'll have to do another lunch-time deep-dive one of these days. Growing up though, my dad always pegged this time of year for a pattern change and the pool was closed up right after Labor day. How many people still have their pools open right now these days?

Now that's some interesting data. Surprising to see less (or even not at all) 2000's data in the "warmest" category. I also think it'd be interesting to see each plot graphed separately just for clarification. Looking forward to more data, thanks for taking the time to make this!

No no, it's just this week and then some other random weeks in October (yet to be determined). As soon as my field schedule for October is finalized, I'll let you guys know because those weeks are guaranteed to be hot and miserable. Just like this week. Then I'll have a nice, normal office month in November while it's absolutely gorgeous outside, and then I'll be assigned to do fieldwork again once it cools down to an unacceptable level in December/January.

Can't wait until that hits here. So tired of the heat already.

Fell apart right over me, which is what I'm accustomed to these types of storms doing. Lol. Cool outside. Windows have been open all day here. Going to be nice sleeping weather for a change.

Decent little line of storms approaching from the west. Nothing like last night, but I wasn't expecting anything at all today. You can kinda see them bubbling up to my NW in this pic:

I feel like the more I watch and learn about the weather the less I understand it. Boy howdy have I been riding high on the initial Dunning-Kruger curve, but for like, 10 years now. This for sure looked like it would fizzle out given what I thought I knew about daytime heating and recent past events that have struggled to maintain order after rafting over the Appalachians. Instead what happened was that it intensified after dark. So what didn't I take into account for this time? Jetstreak? It spans the whole eastern seaboard, so where would the right entrance region be? Oh wait. I think I might have just answered my own question. Anyhow, apologies for the stream of consciousness. Interesting little event. Looking forward to the breakdown from those more weather-wise than I.

There were two spin-ups near me according to velocity scan, one headed right towards my subdivision. Front came through and the rain was loud enough to hear in the basement, thought that was all we heard, thankfully. Wish I was closer to a better radar. Threat has passed, now just heavy rain. .88" in the bucket.

Yup, we're in the basement

And I've just been tornado warned.

Bit noisy out there, actually. Usually we see discrete cells producing bursts of lightning, but this whole line is producing. I feel now that I was a bit premature in my previous statements regarding the perceived reduced intensity of this system. Batten down the hatches.

Ok that line strengthened quite a bit. Still a ways out but we are getting the light show and low, distant rumbles.

Ok those are valid points. Hope I'm right all the same.

This event seem way overhyped to anyone else? I mean, I'm all for a good storm but the news mets have all been squawking about this for a couple of days, getting everybody all riled up. Please correct me if I'm wrong, but this all seems pretty run-of-the-mill. I think they all need to dial it back a notch. People are storm-warning-fatigued enough as it is. On one hand, yes, everyone please pay attention, it might get stormy tonight. But on the other hand, it's not like every event has to be billed as OMG tHe WeAtHeR aPoCaLyPsE is upon us once again! Yeesh, maybe I'm the one who's fatigued...

There's about a 10-20° temperature gradient across the front, with the larger differences to the south, though I think the loss of daytime heating as this thing moves east is going to reduce the threat for the I-95 corridor at least. The line looks much more robust more north of us.

New MD just released for some of us: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1715.html Mesoscale Discussion 1715 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Wed Sep 08 2021 Areas affected...Eastern Pennsylvania...northwest New Jersey...southeastern New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 082015Z - 082215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...The threat for severe weather will gradually increase into early evening across parts of the Mid-Atlantic. Damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail are the main concerns. A conditional tornado threat exists in eastern Pennsylvania and southeastern New York. Timing and coverage of severe storms is uncertain. Trends will be monitored for a possible watch. DISCUSSION...The 18Z observed Albany sounding showed relatively weak capping, but signs of subsidence aloft. This general profile seems to capture what is being observed on visible satellite across the Mid-Atlantic. Areas of cumulus, particularly within eastern Pennsylvania where temperatures are in the mid 80s F, have shown a gradual increase in depth. The subsidence aloft is likely limiting vertical development. With time, and additional mid-level cooling, storms should be able to initiate in the warm sector. Farther west, warm conveyor belt precipitation has generally been weak with only small embedded convective elements. A gradual increase in convective character may occur as this activity encounters more buoyant air. The greatest severe potential likely exists with any warm sector storms that can develop. Damaging winds, isolated large hail, and perhaps a tornado could occur. Eastern Pennsylvania into southeastern New York would be the favored zone for low-level rotation given slightly backed surface winds. Storms within the warm conveyor belt should exhibit a more linear storm mode and pose primarily a damaging wind gust risk. There is some uncertainty as to when storms will intensify this afternoon. Much of the guidance suggest it may not be until around or after 8 PM EDT. With potentially unfavorable timing diurnally, trends will have to continue to be monitored for a possible watch later this afternoon. ..Wendt/Hart.. 09/08/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

Looks tasty... In other news. I snapped this pic of what I believe is a lenticular cloud surfing a cumulous on the way home this afternoon... Possibly a pileus cloud? Heading north on 176. Neat!

@Hurricane Agneshas all the cool toys and seems well-versed in their operation. I think she uses some of the GRLevelX products http://www.grlevelx.com/ I'd like to get into some of that but just haven't found the time and it does appear to be a bit pricey.

No graphics yet, but here's the report on the Oxford tornado. This came within a mile of my parents' farm. .East Nottingham Township-Oxford, PA Tornado... Rating: EF-2 Estimated Peak Wind: 115 mph Path Length /statute/: 6.09 miles Path Width /maximum/: 350 yards Fatalities: None Injuries: None Start Date: Sep 01 2021 Start Time: 4:15 PM EDT Start Location: East Nottingham Twp, Chester Co, PA Start Lat/Lon: 39.77/-75.97 End Date: Sep 01 2021 End Time: 4:22 PM EDT End Location: Upper Oxford Twp, Chester Co, PA End Lat/Lon: 39.85/-75.93 An embedded supercell in a quasi-linear feature produced a tornado near Oxford, PA. A path of damage began in crop land near the intersection of 5th Street and Waterway Road. Tree damage continued northeast of here. Significant damage occurred in the Wiltshire Development. On Slate Hill Drive, one house lost a southeast facing exterior wall. Another house lost a significant amount of siding and a portion of the roof. Tree damage continued in a northeast path. At Hickory Hill Road, there was damage to the roof of a commercial outbuilding and a recreational trailer was flipped on its side. Sporadic tree and crop damage was noted from drone footage (this portion of the path was inaccessible by vehicle) continuing to the northeast. A metal storage building at a business along Reedville Road had wall and roof damage. Further northeast there was damage to turkey pens near the intersection of Baltimore Pike and West Branch Road. Additional tree and power pole damage continued in a northeast path. The last damage noted along this continuous path was exterior wall damage to a farm outbuilding and crop damage along Street Road near Route 10. Sporadic tree damage was observed near Route 10 and Ewing Road, but this does not appear to be in a continuous path from the other damage, so this may have been caused by straight line winds. The National Weather Service would like to thank Mr. Lou Ruh for his assistance with this survey.