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CoolHandMike

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  1. CoolHandMike
    New MD just released for some of us: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1715.html Mesoscale Discussion 1715 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0315 PM CDT Wed Sep 08 2021 Areas affected...Eastern Pennsylvania...northwest New Jersey...southeastern New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 082015Z - 082215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...The threat for severe weather will gradually increase into early evening across parts of the Mid-Atlantic. Damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail are the main concerns. A conditional tornado threat exists in eastern Pennsylvania and southeastern New York. Timing and coverage of severe storms is uncertain. Trends will be monitored for a possible watch. DISCUSSION...The 18Z observed Albany sounding showed relatively weak capping, but signs of subsidence aloft. This general profile seems to capture what is being observed on visible satellite across the Mid-Atlantic. Areas of cumulus, particularly within eastern Pennsylvania where temperatures are in the mid 80s F, have shown a gradual increase in depth. The subsidence aloft is likely limiting vertical development. With time, and additional mid-level cooling, storms should be able to initiate in the warm sector. Farther west, warm conveyor belt precipitation has generally been weak with only small embedded convective elements. A gradual increase in convective character may occur as this activity encounters more buoyant air. The greatest severe potential likely exists with any warm sector storms that can develop. Damaging winds, isolated large hail, and perhaps a tornado could occur. Eastern Pennsylvania into southeastern New York would be the favored zone for low-level rotation given slightly backed surface winds. Storms within the warm conveyor belt should exhibit a more linear storm mode and pose primarily a damaging wind gust risk. There is some uncertainty as to when storms will intensify this afternoon. Much of the guidance suggest it may not be until around or after 8 PM EDT. With potentially unfavorable timing diurnally, trends will have to continue to be monitored for a possible watch later this afternoon. ..Wendt/Hart.. 09/08/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
  2. CoolHandMike
    Looks tasty... In other news. I snapped this pic of what I believe is a lenticular cloud surfing a cumulous on the way home this afternoon... Possibly a pileus cloud? Heading north on 176. Neat!
  3. CoolHandMike
    @Hurricane Agneshas all the cool toys and seems well-versed in their operation. I think she uses some of the GRLevelX products http://www.grlevelx.com/ I'd like to get into some of that but just haven't found the time and it does appear to be a bit pricey.
  4. CoolHandMike
    No graphics yet, but here's the report on the Oxford tornado. This came within a mile of my parents' farm. .East Nottingham Township-Oxford, PA Tornado... Rating: EF-2 Estimated Peak Wind: 115 mph Path Length /statute/: 6.09 miles Path Width /maximum/: 350 yards Fatalities: None Injuries: None Start Date: Sep 01 2021 Start Time: 4:15 PM EDT Start Location: East Nottingham Twp, Chester Co, PA Start Lat/Lon: 39.77/-75.97 End Date: Sep 01 2021 End Time: 4:22 PM EDT End Location: Upper Oxford Twp, Chester Co, PA End Lat/Lon: 39.85/-75.93 An embedded supercell in a quasi-linear feature produced a tornado near Oxford, PA. A path of damage began in crop land near the intersection of 5th Street and Waterway Road. Tree damage continued northeast of here. Significant damage occurred in the Wiltshire Development. On Slate Hill Drive, one house lost a southeast facing exterior wall. Another house lost a significant amount of siding and a portion of the roof. Tree damage continued in a northeast path. At Hickory Hill Road, there was damage to the roof of a commercial outbuilding and a recreational trailer was flipped on its side. Sporadic tree and crop damage was noted from drone footage (this portion of the path was inaccessible by vehicle) continuing to the northeast. A metal storage building at a business along Reedville Road had wall and roof damage. Further northeast there was damage to turkey pens near the intersection of Baltimore Pike and West Branch Road. Additional tree and power pole damage continued in a northeast path. The last damage noted along this continuous path was exterior wall damage to a farm outbuilding and crop damage along Street Road near Route 10. Sporadic tree damage was observed near Route 10 and Ewing Road, but this does not appear to be in a continuous path from the other damage, so this may have been caused by straight line winds. The National Weather Service would like to thank Mr. Lou Ruh for his assistance with this survey.
  5. CoolHandMike
    This is nice. Perfect hoodie weather.
  6. CoolHandMike
    Eager to learn about the possible tornado near Oxford. My dad said it came within a couple of miles of the homestead. They are still without grid power but thankfully they installed a whole-house genny after Sandy and it appears to be working just fine.
  7. CoolHandMike
    Saw this on reddit. Between Rt 10 and 896 over Rt 1 just outside of Oxford:
  8. CoolHandMike
    I like this site to monitor flood gauges around our region: https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=phi You can zoom in and hover over each point for a quick snapshot or click on them for detailed historical data.
  9. CoolHandMike
    5.27" for the event, might get a couple more tenths if we're lucky. Back end is pretty much upon us out here.
  10. CoolHandMike
    Well dang. Fake. https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=https://cdn.mos.cms.futurecdn.net/k7W3JLjfLPBE9VRA2JmMo8-1200-80.jpg&imgrefurl=https://www.livescience.com/17004-oklahoma-struck-biggest-november-tornado-record.html&h=594&w=792&tbnid=ymFDeK3p3jf7xM&tbnh=194&tbnw=259&usg=AI4_-kQghoHYjzXzsAnw3tpeYcD0fZqPIA&vet=1&docid=FAAkc0njDJ10DM&itg=1
  11. CoolHandMike
    More like Mullica Hill, OK. Just wow.
  12. CoolHandMike
    Spinning up near Maple Glen/Horsham again?
  13. CoolHandMike
    Might be out of date. Nothing appears to be spinning up near you at the moment though there was some rotation on radar to your north not too long ago.
  14. CoolHandMike
    Looking at some medium scale rotation heading your way
  15. CoolHandMike
    This thing's moving fast, whatever it is.
  16. CoolHandMike
    Another possible spin-up near Downingtown:
  17. CoolHandMike
    Seeing signs of a spin-up near Windmoor/Glenside/Abington...
  18. CoolHandMike
  19. CoolHandMike
    As promised:
  20. CoolHandMike
    Getting reports of flooding on 222 at the 61 off ramp just north of me as well as some flooding near Birdsboro. I think the usual spots near Penn St. in downtown are flooded as well. The low spot in my back yard has a couple of inches of standing water, but my basement is still bone-dry for now.
  21. CoolHandMike
    Miss being local to you, Lady Di. Nice to see you still posting here.
  22. CoolHandMike
    Rates picking back up near me.
  23. CoolHandMike
    Perents checked in. Just heavy rain, they were out wrangling horses (i really wish they would retire already). Pastures are flooded. They are out by Lincoln U so this would have been to their NW.
  24. CoolHandMike
    Parents are in Oxford. Waiting to hear back from them...
  25. CoolHandMike
    LOL what is that? Looks like a Homermobile storm chaser.
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