Stebo

Wouldn't mind a bit of rain, but otherwise it is pretty spectacular run we got coming here. 80/55 every day for the next week+.

Yeah I hope so, honestly I have a feeling we got some October 80s coming this year too. Very much so, it feels like its been several years since we had a good one.

Yeah its like a bowl where it is, very misleading for temps in the area but true to its location. 50 again last night for a low here. I see that Grayling was 33 last hour up north, pretty wild for this time of year.

Going up north this weekend the point and click forecast is as follows: Thursday A 40 percent chance of showers before 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Friday Sunny, with a high near 71. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. That 43 is going to be crisp, I do hope we hit the 77 because I do wanna go to the beach one of the days up there.

There was nothing wrong with your post, it has been pretty boring at times for SW MI.

Nice little storm passing through here. We actually needed some rain here in Southern Macomb. We missed out on most of the flood that hit North of here

You are correct.

Yeah, it may have occurred in the past, but no where near the quantity of days in a row or for the summer like the last 5 years.

We ended up with 1.80 for the day on Wednesday at DTW. Yeah too much of the rain ran off though but it was nice to get some rain. Would have rather had it spread out over more days though, ended up with 7.38 for the month.

Yesterday's storm over the airport dropped 1.04 in 17 minutes. An absolute car wash of a storm.

Neither, both suck. But if I had to choose, TCC isn't an a-hole along with a troll.

Sorry for your family's loss, John.

Sorry for your family's loss, John

We could use some rain locally. It seems like lately everything that has come at us has fallen apart.

That looks like a plasma charge along a powerline.

GFS is trying, the thing is the models are going to struggle with that until the day of basically. Models love to push it along the jet, but in reality it usually dives into the instability.

Point and click forecast starting Saturday here Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Saturday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 74. Sunday Sunny and hot, with a high near 98. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 76. Monday Sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Tuesday Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 96. Pass

There is some feedback, but its not necessarily incorrect, as you mention with an MCV it can modulate the wind fields much stronger.

Wednesday

I'd have to defer to Ricky on this but every model is suffering from convective feedback, I really don't know how to forecast this one. Verbatim most models are significant but there is a feedback that is amplifying the winds, how much of that is true I don't know.

Saturday has my interest.

Wednesday is interesting, a low ejects out of the plains and strengthens as it moves towards the Straits of Mackinaw overnight into Thursday, with ample instability and a warm front lifting through the state I would expect some severe weather of all modes with a squall line trailing along the cold front. The wind fields are pretty robust as well.

Timing on Euro is actually similar, the only thing I don't like is that it could extend into the night time. Don't need night time tornadoes.

I am fine with the GFS speed, IL doesn't need to get everything lol.

Will do, if not here I will on twitter, but I will try and remember here as well.