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Everything posted by Stebo
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The added SPECI for snow start and stop helps fluff things up but ya, its been busy. Last month I almost had as many SPECI as METAR
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28 here last month during a snowstorm/squall day, the most anyone has had in the records we had going back to 2016.
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I had 18 SPECI yesterday, that was a bit of hard money
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With the snow today its 21 days in a row with snow here at DTW. I am tired
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stebo replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Has someone in this subforum not gotten snow? -
Their snowfall total included sleet accumulation. It wasn't just snow. Sleet counts as snowfall accumulation when you measure at a FAA facility for NWS climate data. Most of the time the ratio will fall at around 3:1 as Roger reported above. I have measured snow before at 2 separate stations here in MI in the past, so I have direct experience in this.
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Their 6.9" report gels with everything around them.
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The snow amount for DCA is right.
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Correct Fozz, it's like my snow totals in SEMI vs where the White Lake office is. There is a higher elevation away from the water.
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The last SWO at DCA was MR and you are incorrect here. They actually hand measure snow.
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Hi, so this isn't to stir up anything but I just wanted to address this post and a couple others. I know there have been issues in the past at DCA but the current SWO there isn't the one from the past. The current SWO is a former coworker of mine who I helped train to observe. I trust his number fully as he worked 2 shifts over the weekend as well. The microclimate of the Potomac River Valley does play here though. I wouldn't expect DCA to have as high of a value as IAD or BWI considering their locations. I just wanted to help address this issue a bit since I know some of the information and I have seen what has been done there in the past with respect to snow measuring.
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1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Is there an expectation of a 20" storm here? There has only been 1 since 1880 and it was in 1886. 1 in Flint in 67 and 2 in Saginaw in 67 and 78. This isn't a location that even remotely sniffs 20" storms ever. Boston does because they have the luxury of the ocean and Nor'easters. This isn't a reservation on you just on the discussion in general. I don't know why the same people bring this up seemingly every year and multiple times a year. It is like they never read climo for the region. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
4.8" at home 4.9" here at Metro. Not the biggest storm but not bad and this storm had a decent amount of liquid so it won't just melt or sublimate away quickly. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Its snowing here 7 hours ahead of schedule and already down to 2SM at DTW, under 5dBZ radar returns. I smell an overperformer coming. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Lol, no Clinton Township is not getting a dusting. Also aren't you in Florida, you aren't getting snow there. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Nah this is a good point, any snow we get today will help keep the column moistened for the brunt of the storm tomorrow. With it so cold outside right now we will inevitably be fighting dry air. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It will be more than that but those 2 counties and Wayne might be warning criteria if the overnight models are to be believed, did have a positive shift back north some. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Trending the way it has today sucks, I guess its turning into another boring 2-4 maybe 3-6. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Unlike Joe, I do think Chicago cashes in, but more than like by means of lake effect. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I would add most of KS/MO/IL/rest of IN/and most of S MI east of 23 or south of 94 -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Euro nudged back up locally and the AIEuro definitely went up. Everything tells you what you should already know, toss the GFS's garbage ass. -
1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH
Stebo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Perfectly content with where I sit currently, all but the GFS are hitting us with around 6-10" -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stebo replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It does look like the clipper train could at least keep things wintry through the next week, remains to be seen how much accumulates, down wind of the lakes should win either way though. -
Going to be a bit boring here with some rain.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stebo replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
This run of the GFS had a very wide sleet zone for some reason. I feel like it's going to either be snow or freezing rain, with very minimal sleet.
