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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    Texas lows are our favored track for snowstorms here, so no it isn't 'at best a mix'. Colorado lows are more favored to track to our west.
  2. Stebo
    As he should
  3. Stebo
    Good, with the recent rains and warm temps the grass in my neighborhood greened back up. I wouldn't want below zero temps, that's the kind of stuff that kills plants.
  4. Stebo
    Yeah that's the problem, it is just moving straight east
  5. Stebo
    We have to hope for the typical Feb boost we have had in the last 20 years, because if that doesn't happen this could be a top 10 dud for many in the region.
  6. Stebo
    Everything went south, the problem I am seeing is the strength of the system is much weaker too, narrowing the band of snow as well. That to me is the bigger issue than the shifts.
  7. Stebo
    Honestly that has really lost its luster, the satellite data and ship data is pretty good that is getting integrated. There really isn't much "better sampling" these days.
  8. Stebo
    This is a Texas low coming out of the panhandle.
  9. Stebo
    There is no evidence of them having bigger storms either, just take the L and move on. Multiple people here in the metro have said that you are not right.
  10. Stebo
    5.3" at ORD
  11. Stebo
    Next time post the JMA or Nogaps unironically
  12. Stebo
    Unironic posting of the Ukmet
  13. Stebo
    Nah it definitely ticked north, Kankakee went from 3 to 6" this run.
  14. Stebo
    It has all to do with the location of the vort lobe over James Bay and the confluence in the east, the lobe was slower and further NE this run, and the confluence was weaker. It opened up the opportunity for it to move further north before sliding east. It is something that will need to be watched for further trends or regression.
  15. Stebo
    Everything went north this run.
  16. Stebo
    The high is pushing it south to start and it has no way to cut back north once it gets far enough east.
  17. Stebo
    It's just too strong of a high and once the storm gets east it gets pulled straight east with the confluence and the block in the east.
  18. Stebo
    Yeah that was a shift south for sure, both the 06z Euro and GFS nudged back south.
  19. Stebo
    His stats are right, the northern suburbs have done better. It is just a fact.
  20. Stebo
    It all depends on a couple of things, the confluence in the east, the upper low north of the state and how strong/much the high at the surface presses in. Any of those ending up weaker allows for this to come north.
  21. Stebo
    I won't bite until I see consistency, plus we still need it west of where its showing now. That has more of the current cold but dry look.
  22. Stebo
    It's looking like a 1-2" at this point. It still runs out of gas considerably compared to NW of here.
  23. Stebo
    Confluence to the east due to a coastal, it makes sense. If the coastal is weaker though it may not fall apart as quickly.
  24. Stebo
    Minor grass accumulation this morning here, maybe a tenth or two.
  25. Stebo
    It will be nice to see a bit of snow here, I am doubting much accumulation if at all.
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