donsutherland1

At a Zoom meeting. Not sure if this PNS has been posted. Apologies for any redundancy: 288 NOUS41 KOKX 021416 PNSOKX CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-030147- Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 916 AM EST Tue Feb 2 2021 ...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL REPORTS FROM JANUARY 31, 2021 THROUGH FEBRUARY 2, 2021... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...Fairfield County... Danbury 19.0 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio 4 SSE Sherman 17.0 in 0130 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 NE Norwalk 15.9 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Bridgeport Airport 15.2 in 0700 PM 02/01 Official NWS Obs Monroe 14.5 in 0640 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 ENE New Canaan 14.2 in 1100 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Weston 14.1 in 0755 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 NNW Bethel 13.7 in 1200 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Greenwich 13.5 in 0543 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 NNE Stamford 13.5 in 0700 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 3 SSE Greenwich 12.0 in 0400 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter New Fairfield 10.5 in 0446 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Newtown 9.2 in 0430 PM 02/01 Public ...Middlesex County... Essex 13.0 in 0700 PM 02/01 Public Clinton 10.9 in 0120 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 ENE Clinton 10.4 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...New Haven County... 4 ENE North Haven 16.5 in 0830 PM 02/01 Public 2 ENE North Haven 16.0 in 0930 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter New Haven 15.2 in 0900 PM 02/01 Public West Haven 15.0 in 0803 PM 02/01 Public 2 NNW East Haven 15.0 in 0920 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Milford 14.4 in 0500 PM 02/01 Public 2 ENE Seymour 14.0 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Waterbury 14.0 in 0315 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter North Haven 13.5 in 0650 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Cheshire 1.5 ENE 12.8 in 0800 PM 02/01 COCORAHS 1 WSW Branford 9.4 in 0812 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 2 NE North Haven 9.2 in 0515 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 NNW Guilford 8.2 in 0400 PM 02/01 CO-OP Observer ...New London County... 3 SSE Gales Ferry 10.3 in 0605 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Ledyard Center 10.2 in 0500 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter New London 9.2 in 0515 PM 02/01 Public 3 SSE Gales Ferry 8.4 in 0730 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...New Jersey... ...Bergen County... 1 ESE Park Ridge 23.0 in 0824 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Closter 22.4 in 0815 PM 02/01 Public Franklin Lakes 20.6 in 1030 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 S Washington Townshi 20.5 in 1245 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 SSW Hillsdale 20.5 in 0600 AM 02/02 Public Westwood 20.0 in 0745 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Lyndhurst 19.7 in 0500 AM 02/02 Public Ridgewood 19.4 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Garfield 19.2 in 0200 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter mahwah 18.5 in 0620 PM 02/01 Public East Rutherford 18.3 in 0815 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Dumont 17.5 in 0600 PM 02/01 Broadcast Media Northvale 16.5 in 0745 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Fair Lawn 12.5 in 0930 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...Essex County... Bloomfield 20.5 in 1055 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Essex Fells 20.0 in 0830 PM 02/01 Public Cedar Grove 19.2 in 1230 AM 02/02 Public 1 W South Orange 18.6 in 1015 PM 02/01 Public Millburn 18.6 in 1017 PM 02/01 Public West Orange 18.2 in 0830 PM 02/01 Public North Caldwell 17.3 in 0800 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Newark 16.2 in 0700 PM 02/01 Official NWS Obs Verona 14.3 in 0415 PM 02/01 Public ...Hudson County... 1 N Harrison 16.5 in 0700 AM 02/02 CO-OP Observer 1 N Kearny 16.0 in 1000 PM 02/01 CO-OP Observer Hoboken 15.0 in 0534 AM 02/02 Emergency Mngr ...Passaic County... Bloomingdale 26.2 in 0100 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 3 WSW Ringwood 19.0 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...Union County... Berkeley Heights 19.0 in 0510 PM 02/01 Public Elizabeth 17.8 in 0750 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Newark Airport 17.6 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs Garwood 17.5 in 0755 AM 02/02 Public Westfield 17.2 in 0400 PM 02/01 Public ...New York... ...Bronx County... East Tremont 19.0 in 0815 PM 02/01 Public 1 S Fordham 14.5 in 0500 PM 02/01 Public ...Kings County... 2 ENE Coney Island 16.0 in 0700 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 SSE Flatbush 15.4 in 0930 PM 02/01 Public 2 WNW Crown Heights 15.0 in 0515 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 SSW Flatbush 15.0 in 0830 PM 02/01 Broadcast Media 1 NNW Crown Heights 14.0 in 0700 PM 02/01 Emergency Mngr 2 NNW Crown Heights 13.0 in 0740 AM 02/02 Emergency Mngr ...Nassau County... Hicksville 17.6 in 0438 AM 02/02 Public Bellerose 16.6 in 0745 PM 02/01 Public 1 N Syosset 16.2 in 1130 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Glenwood Landing 15.2 in 0735 PM 02/01 Public West Hempstead 14.5 in 0600 PM 02/01 Public 1 NE Plandome 13.4 in 0345 PM 02/01 Public East Williston 13.2 in 0945 PM 02/01 Public Port Washington 13.0 in 0445 PM 02/01 Public 2 E Garden City 12.4 in 0610 PM 02/01 Public Merrick 12.0 in 1100 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter North Wantagh 11.2 in 0400 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Massapequa 11.0 in 0400 PM 02/01 Public ...New York County... Central Park 17.2 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs 1 SE Greenwich Village 13.7 in 0800 AM 02/02 Emergency Mngr 2 N New York 12.3 in 0901 PM 02/01 Emergency Mngr ...Orange County... 3 WNW Warwick 19.2 in 0630 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Highland Mills 18.2 in 0700 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Middletown 18.0 in 0930 PM 02/01 Fire Dept/Rescue Monroe 18.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 N Orange Lake 17.7 in 1000 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 SSW Stewart Airport 17.4 in 1200 AM 02/02 Public 1 SW Cold Spring 17.2 in 0900 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Otisville 16.0 in 0756 PM 02/01 Public Cornwall On Hudson 0.6 NNW 16.0 in 0930 PM 02/01 COCORAHS New Windsor 16.0 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio 1 WNW Monroe 15.5 in 0845 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Gardnertown 14.0 in 0548 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Warwick 13.2 in 0440 PM 02/01 Public ...Putnam County... Brewster 15.7 in 1100 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Putnam Valley 15.5 in 1000 PM 02/01 Broadcast Media 1 ENE Cold Spring 14.7 in 1100 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 N Mahopac 14.7 in 1214 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 3 N Putnam Valley 14.5 in 0600 PM 02/01 Broadcast Media Mahopac 13.4 in 0820 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter ...Queens County... 1 WSW Bellerose 18.5 in 0530 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 SW Jackson Heights 18.0 in 0800 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 2 NNW Kennedy Airport 14.5 in 0859 PM 02/01 Public 1 WSW Lake Success 14.1 in 0600 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 N Elmhurst 14.1 in 1155 PM 02/01 Public 1 SSE Whitestone 13.5 in 0700 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter NYC/La Guardia 13.3 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs NYC/JFK 12.6 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs ...Richmond County... Westerleigh 15.0 in 0720 PM 02/01 Public ...Rockland County... Monsey 22.2 in 0730 PM 02/01 Public 1 N Spring Valley 22.0 in 1145 PM 02/01 Public Congers 21.5 in 1000 PM 02/01 Fire Dept/Rescue 1 NW Stony Point 20.6 in 0730 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter 1 S Pearl River 19.0 in 0800 AM 02/02 Public Nanuet 17.5 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio Chestnut Ridge 12.0 in 0330 PM 02/01 Public Nyack 12.0 in 0530 PM 02/01 Public ...Suffolk County... 1 NNE East Northport 18.1 in 0730 AM 02/02 Public 1 NNW Smithtown 17.0 in 0815 AM 02/02 Trained Spotter Commack 15.9 in 1212 AM 02/02 Public Islip 15.6 in 1030 PM 02/01 Public Mount Sinai 15.0 in 0600 PM 02/01 COOP 1 WNW West Islip 14.5 in 0730 PM 02/01 Public 2 SSE Coram 14.4 in 0830 PM 02/01 Public Saint James 14.3 in 0750 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Stony Brook 14.3 in 0800 AM 02/02 NWS Employee 1 NW Manorville 14.1 in 0620 PM 02/01 Public 1 NE Lake Ronkonkoma 14.1 in 0900 PM 02/01 NWS Employee Shoreham 14.0 in 0500 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Upton 14.0 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs 2 E East Northport 13.7 in 0500 PM 02/01 Public Bay Shore 13.4 in 0600 PM 02/01 Cocorahs 1 SSE Sayville 11.8 in 0400 PM 02/01 NWS Employee 1 WNW Sound Beach 11.5 in 0330 PM 02/01 NWS Employee Center Moriches 11.5 in 0500 PM 02/01 Public Islip Airport 11.4 in 0700 AM 02/02 Official NWS Obs Port Jefferson 11.1 in 0345 PM 02/01 Public Patchogue 1.9 NNW 11.0 in 0500 PM 02/01 COCORAHS 2 NW Peconic River 10.2 in 0429 PM 02/01 NWS Employee East Hampton 7.2 in 0330 PM 02/01 Public 3 ENE Sag Harbor 7.2 in 0330 PM 02/01 Public ...Westchester County... 1 NE Irvington 20.3 in 0915 PM 02/01 Public Montrose 19.0 in 0830 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Mount Kisco 19.0 in 0810 AM 02/02 Public 2 ENE Armonk 18.5 in 0900 PM 02/01 Public 2 ENE Montrose 18.0 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio 1 SE Irvington 17.8 in 0830 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Hastings-on-Hudson 17.0 in 0700 PM 02/01 Public 2 NW Woodlawn 16.0 in 0930 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter 1 WNW Mount Kisco 14.5 in 0700 PM 02/01 Public Yonkers 14.2 in 0330 PM 02/01 Public 2 SSW Golden's Bridge 14.1 in 0530 PM 02/01 Cocorahs 2 SW Yonkers 13.7 in 0330 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter New Rochelle 12.5 in 1000 PM 02/01 Amateur Radio 2 ENE Golden's Bridge 11.3 in 0500 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter &&

Morning thoughts... Today will be mostly cloudy. Additional snow showers and periods of light snow with possible light accumulations are likely across parts of the region. Parts of northeastern Pennsylvania into southern New York State could pick up several inches of snow. Temperatures will likely reach the mainly the middle 30s across much of the region. Likely high temperatures include: New York City (Central Park): 35° Newark: 37° Philadelphia: 36° Clouds could break in parts of the region tomorrow. In the extended range, the EPS ensemble members are clustered around February 7-8 for possible measurable snow. 30-Day Verification: Period ended January 31 New York City (Central Park): Average daily forecast: 39.8° Average temperature: 39.5° Average error: 1.3° Newark: Average daily forecast: 41.3° Average temperature: 41.0° Average error: 1.5° Philadelphia: Average daily forecast: 42.2° Average temperature: 41.8° Average error: 1.4°

The closest I could find was Irvington (1 NE): 20.3”.

At 7:00 PM EST, Bloomingdale [Passaic Co, NJ] TRAINED SPOTTER reports HEAVY SNOW of 25.20 INCH

I guess we'll have to wait until tomorrow morning unless an update is issued before the daily climate report is issued.

055 SXUS71 KOKX 020034 RRA RERNYC RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK, NY 734 PM EST MON FEB 01 2021 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY... AS OF 7 PM TODAY...A RECORD DAILY SNOWFALL OF 14.3 INCHES WAS SET AT CENTRAL PARK NY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 9.8 INCHES SET IN 1934. ALSO...THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OF OF 16.3 INCHES THUS FAR RANKS AS THE 17TH HIGHEST OF RECORD AT CENTRAL PARK. THE OFFICIAL RECORD OF OBSERVATIONS AT THE PARK DATES BACK TO 1869. THIS REPORT WILL BE UPDATED LATER TONIGHT AS SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL. $$ GOODMAN

Much of New Jersey, northeastern Pennsylvania, southeastern New York State, and southwestern Connecticut picked up a foot or more of snow today. Numerous locations reported 16"-24" figures. Overnight and tomorrow, the storm responsible will slowly move away from the region. Additional periods of light snow are possible tomorrow with some minor accumulations. Somewhat milder air will return to the region by midweek. However, another shot of cold air is possible during the weekend. Moreover, EPS ensemble members are increasingly clustering around February 7-8 for another possible snow event. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.7°C for the week centered around January 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.71°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -1.03°C. La Niña conditions will likely prevail at least through meteorological winter. The SOI was +4.08 today. Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -2.496. On January 31 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 2.160 (RMM). The January 30-adjusted amplitude was 2.360. Based on the latest guidance, no significant stratospheric warming event is likely through the first week of this month. The significant December 16-17 snowstorm during what has been a blocky December suggests that seasonal snowfall prospects have increased especially from north of Philadelphia into southern New England. At New York City, there is a high probability based on historic cases that an additional 20" or more snow will accumulate after December. Since January 1, New York City has picked up 16.4" snow.

Through 1 pm, NYC had 15.3” total snowfall and 1.02” precipitation (roughly a 15:1 ratio). LGA has averaged almost 16:1 through 5 pm.

Needles in Larchmont, NY.

A photo from just after 3 pm: Light and occasionally moderate snow continues to fall in Larchmont, NY.

Yes. That's Central Park.

Select Accumulations: Bridgeport: 10.2" Islip: 8.7" New York City-JFK: 8.7" New York City-LGA: 10.0" New York City-NYC: 13.3" Newark: 11.7"

Three photos from late this morning

A video clip from just before noon:

9:07 AM: Very light wind-driven snow in Larchmont, NY. Waiting patiently for what lies ahead.

Yes.

5.3” at Central Park.

Morning thoughts... A major perhaps borderline historic snowstorm (top 20 or above) is developing. Select snowfall amounts around the New York City area include: Islip: 2.9” New York City-JFK: 4.6” New York City-LGA: 4.1” New York City-NYC: 5.3” Newark: 5.2” Syosset (1 N): 5.4” This is just the beginning. In its most recent mesoscale discussion, the SPC observed: The latest mosaic radar imagery shows an east to west band of moderate to heavy precipitation forming from eastern Pennsylvania eastward to south of Long Island. The band is developing to the north of a deepening surface low, in response to an increase in isentropic ascent due to the approach of an upper-level low in the central Appalachians. In addition, increased low-level flow and strong divergence aloft will aid the continued development of moderate to heavy precipitation this morning. Snowfall rates are expected to increase into the 1 to 2 inch per hour range over the next few hours as the east-to-west band moves slowly northward across eastern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey, far southeast New York, Long Island and far southern New England. Snowfall rates are forecast to gradually increase through the morning approaching peak intensity in the early afternoon. The heaviest snow will likely fall from late morning until early this evening. Blizzard conditions are possible in some areas. Temperatures will top out in the lower 30s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 33° Newark: 33° Philadelphia: 34° Light snow and snow showers will likely continue tomorrow. Some additional accumulations are possible. This storm will very likely join the 10 one-foot or larger snowstorms that have blanketed New York City since 2000. Six of those storms dumped 18” or more snow. Those 10 storms were: December 30, 2000: 12.0” February 16-17, 2003: 19.8” December 5-7, 2003: 14.0” January 22-23, 2005: 13.8” February 11-12, 2006: 26.9” February 25-26, 2010: 20.9” December 26-27, 2010: 20.0” January 26-27, 2011: 19.0” February 13-14, 2014: 12.5” January 22-24, 2016: 27.5”

I favor the higher ones. The ECMWF has a good track record. The NAM and RGEM are within their best range. The GFSv16 has been very consistent and did well with the December storm. Sometimes the HRRR takes time to “catch on.” The GFS is a caution flag, but not enough to think the forecast is in trouble.

The parallel has double the snowfall through 18z for NYC.

No problem. Sorry, my iPhone pasted the map multiple times.

That’s from 7 am today through 7 am Wednesday, not including what has already fallen. Storm total

DCA: 0.2 NYC: 0.3 BOS: 0.8 ORD: -0.9 ATL: -0.5 IAH: 0.2 DEN: 0.0 PHX: 0.4 SEA: -1.0

The record low in January is 0.0”, which occurred in 1890.

This is likely the result of the transition of energy from the primary storm to the secondary one that will produce the excessive snows.