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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    Exactly.
  2. frd
    - WPO related
  3. frd
    Snow on snow would be nice. Would it be safe to assume each wave effects areas a little further South as baroclinic zone shifts south . But can't get away from thinking second or third event had major surprises because of poor modeling of upstream blocking. Just speculation.
  4. frd
    Hard to filter out the noise. Thanks MJO not the demon.
  5. frd
    Interesting @RaleighWx · 23h Well the pacific has been unfavorable all year. If it moves into or ends up in phase 7 in February it is much colder looking with -glaam. MJO not everything, but so far the met winter has been mild for most last image
  6. frd
    Still pretty
  7. frd
    Nino
  8. frd
    ECM EPS MAX RES Believe this is an improvement
  9. frd
    All I can saw is widespread , so that is a plus, actual amounts don't mean as much as the signal.
  10. frd
    The psu blizzard incoming. I like the end of Jan and early Feb.
  11. frd
    Temps.
  12. frd
    This might work. Round three.
  13. frd
    Wasn't the last trend for the ICON to drop the SW further South on it's way East . This could trend South easily, but is the ICON really worth discussing.
  14. frd
    I am sure the ICON can model the block and the TPVs correctly. Good luck to any model this far out. Anxious to see the EPS later.
  15. frd
    Arctic air into the Canada Prairies, finally.
  16. frd
    The GOES-5 which went only to 240 hours had the same general movement into Northern Canada at that time stamp and then going to the GFS continues that motion further into Northern Canada.
  17. frd
    I am seriously ready for some fuccking snow !
  18. frd
    @psuhoffman there is indeed some support showing that we may not totally go absent blocking in February.
  19. frd
    Latest update, more consolidation to keep the AO negative longer.
  20. frd
    Who said Joe wasn't calling for snow ?
  21. frd
    Snow squalls
  22. frd
    No one is perfect, however, I do believe solely from a SSWE association there have been areas of unusual cold and snow far South in the latitudes within the Northern Hemisphere . There were a few recent examples the last ten days.
  23. frd
    I am not sure what to believe now really. Isotherm said there was hope at the end of January . February's tendencies were always to head warmer , nobody really wants to look forward to March at that time I'm thinking of spring and summer activities. When I look back and read HM's older posts I was under the assumption that he thought any sudden stratospheric warming event would favor our region. but possibly I was mistaken.
  24. frd
    Yes, that is true and very concerning. I believe the warmest year last year, or a tie, per Ryan. Also, the Atlantic ocean temps are very warm, ponding the power of hurricanes this summer as some studies show recurves getting closer and closer to the major cities on the East Coast. .
  25. frd
    On the mark, I know some don't want to hear this, but the base state shift, combined with warmer waters , elevated jet , hyper West Pac warm pool , very warm temps in the summer and Fall at higher latitudes all seem to be causing this issue in my opinion. Maybe we here in the East at a mid latitude are at a greater disadvantage because of our location downstream of the Pac and the proximity of the warming Atlantic .
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