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frd

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  1. frd
    Never heard of it - so I had to look it up....... fascinating read here volitile oils reacting with sunlight. Feel better . https://web.extension.illinois.edu/cfiv/homeowners/090611.html
  2. frd
    From Don S. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.4°C for the week centered around July 10. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.57°C. Neutral-warm ENSO conditions are now evolving. There is considerable uncertainty about the ENSO evolution later this summer into the fall. Some of the guidance now shows the development of neutral-cool ENSO conditions.
  3. frd
    This record would be cool in the winter months. Maybe yes, maybe no, but 83 days, wow ! Seems the cold pool was responsible for the long cycle of the -NAO.
  4. frd
    Is the typcial cycle 12 to 15 months ? If so, no guarantee of a change. Also, we have had favorable QBO phases in the past, and it has not helped that much with blocking overall. Seems to be more at play here. So many factors to consider, and the importance of each in regards to it'd weighting and sensible weather outcome. I rather have a +PDO, favorable PAC , etc.
  5. frd
    Posted only for entertainment value. Anything can happen, and I sure do not trust the Euro. Actually, I do not and will not trust any type of winter forecast this year, even those that will come out in December because today we are in a new regime in my opinion, and analogs can not really be used effectively . Also, IMHO things are so dynamic even the best seasoanl models will not be able to generate a seasonal forecast any better than just going with simple climo. Could be super warm winter or a very cold and snowy winter. Only after the fact will we know.
  6. frd
    This seems correct based on the present decade and ongoing persistence. Want snow ? - you have to wait till March . However, maybe this October we get another Hazel.
  7. frd
    I might look into that as well, thanks.
  8. frd
    Thanks, that is a great point ! I read crab grass sends out some sort of phenol that makes the grass around it not grow as much, but so far crab grass is under control here, with the pre-emergent I but down. Seems my biggest issue this year with the lawn will once again be lawn fungus because of this dew point at night deal. Will reseed in the Fall. but all in all I am happy so far to still have green grass on July 6 th.
  9. frd
    Many cucumbers this morning in the garden, wow, I guess the rain maybe, birds after tomatoes though, so I purchased a bird netting because the ribbons and aluminum squares flying in the breeze is not really working at keeping all the various birds away. Its always something ! Yum, your sald sounds great ! My wifes fav are the cherry tomatoes !!! She told me if the birds eat them I am in the dog house . LOL ( more like sweat house ) !
  10. frd
    Some folks scalp the grass when they cut it , and wonder why it browns and causes stress on the lawn. I always cut on the highest settings.
  11. frd
    Same here, eggplants finally getting bigger with a few flowers. All in all, so far, so good.
  12. frd
    OMG, got nailed again with even larger hail more than 1 inch. Incredible. I am tired now all this weather watching , need a beer or two or three
  13. frd
    Yet another STW for me. Wonder if that line weakens before it gets here. The most robust part of the line seems to be North of me, with what looks like a bowing out across extreme Northern Delaware. Guessing the highest winds up there. Severe Thunderstorm Warning DEC003-MDC015-029-NJC015-033-PAC029-045-292045- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0166.190629T1959Z-190629T2045Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 359 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2019 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... New Castle County in northern Delaware... Northern Kent County in northeastern Maryland... Cecil County in northeastern Maryland... Western Salem County in southern New Jersey... West central Gloucester County in southern New Jersey... Southwestern Chester County in southeastern Pennsylvania... South central Delaware County in southeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 445 PM EDT. * At 359 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Kennett Square to Glen Westover to Farmington, moving southeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. * Locations impacted include... Wilmington, Newark, Middletown, Elkton, Calvert, Chester, Pennsville, Carneys Point, Elsmere, Kennett Square, New Castle, Penns Grove, Salem, Oxford, North East, Woodstown, Alloway, West Grove, Rising Sun and Quinton.
  14. frd
    Well ,that was worth the warning, winds to about 40 maybe 45 , blinding rain in sheets, hail about .75 I think. Over 1.25 inches of rain in less than 35 minutes No tree damage, so thats good but not sure about the garden and the hail , I hope its Ok will look a bit later.
  15. frd
    Well lets see how the trees and garden makes out. I rather not do high winds anymore, surprised this is tracking this way after the downpour already and the air temp is way down. Severe Thunderstorm Warning DEC003-MDC015-291915- /O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0151.190629T1847Z-190629T1915Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 247 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2019 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... West central New Castle County in northern Delaware... East central Cecil County in northeastern Maryland... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 246 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Cayots, or near Elkton, and moving east at 5 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Wind damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. * Locations impacted include... Middletown, Warwick, Mount Pleasant, Cayots, Hollywood Beach, Bohemias Mills and Chesapeake City. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. In addition to large hail and damaging winds, frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. &&
  16. frd
    Right now some sort of boundary setting up on the Eastern Shore ( storms developing along it ) to my West and Northwest far displaced from the line moving Se from PA. A lot of thunder here now. I too saw that anvil you mentioned. Very impressive too watch
  17. frd
    That storm, which is to my WSW , not too far really, is dropping incredible rainfall based on the radar loop .
  18. frd
    Seems severe hail today is a moderate risk. On the link here https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0461.html Do you know the difference in the table under risks ? The SPC mentions a moderate risk for severe hail, and a low risk for 2 inch plus hail. What defines severe hail ?
  19. frd
    Storms on the move SE already from NW and Central PA.
  20. frd
    Grass has gone brown, who knows how long it will last, except to say it looks dry for a while. Tonight's storms be a drop in the bucket. This time of year the sun can wipe out soil moisture in minutes. Meanwhile, all the straw is out of stock in my area, wanted to add more to the garden, now have to wait. And, for the Crepe Myrtle may try neem oil. I really don't want to use anything on it, but at this rate all the buds will be gone, I hate Japanese bettles.
  21. frd
    Looking at the Dover radar some very isolated cells forming and moving NE from the central Chessy Bay. Looks to headed towards the upper Eastern Shore.
  22. frd
    Your thinking that line out in Western PA. keeps together and drops South and East as the evening progresses ? Then I believe the general idea is it stalls, and depending where it stalls you then get that flood threat tomorrow late day and evening. As mentioned by Mount Holly. The system later in the week is progged to be a strong one, the last in the series. Saturday might be a great beach day. Then I see showers introduced into the forecasts again for Sunday. Not a long break in rainfall if indeed that is true.
  23. frd
    Severe really of the table conus-wide as things have calmed down considerably.
  24. frd
    BWI: 97 DCA: 98 IAD: 96 RIC: 102 Tiebreaker HGR: 96
  25. frd
    My bad, sorry, I did not mean for that video to take up valuable space here, it was meant for banter.
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