Yeah, seems like the last few runs have curtailed it and the initial round of rain doesn't seem as robust. Went from like 3+ inches down under 2" now. Hope it holds.
Drove over to Peterborough to meet my daughter for lunch. Like a winter wonderland compared to the coast...especially coming over Temple Mt. Beautiful day up there. 32/21
The December 1-3, 2019 event is my largest snow of the last four years at 17". Nice start that went on to a sub-par winter overall. The January-Feb period that season was pretty pathetic but the other recent years haven't been too bad. Definitely 80's sized events overall.
Massive, persistent singal now emerges discretely in the models, 20th-23rd
Is a singal a meteorological term for massive torching cutter? Nailed it. Oh well, two week vacation has commenced...time to douse the disappointment in some beer.
Some mood flakes flying after getting about an inch in the wrap around. If that rubber band doesn't snap soon I'm going at it with a big pair of scissors. 35/33
Just hoping for a few inches on the back side. Going from snow to rain sucks but going the other way is pretty cool. I also would like to exercise the new snowblower I picked up at the end of last season. We'll see. 36/22
I think the takeaway is the op runs are going to be all over the place for a while. The GFS had the low next weekend over Toronto at 0z and over NYC at 6z. Just continue watching the evolution of the pattern for clues but detailed outcomes are a little suspect on the ops beyond 5 days.
Todays rain finishes the month a hair shy of 5 inches. First 15 days high temps averaged out at 63.5. Last 15 were 46.6. Nice gusts today with power flickering...46/41.
Approaching .80" of rain today. Nice day earlier with sun and temps in the mid 50s. That Wednesday system looks like it would have a decent squall line as depicted on models...maybe some damage?
Yeah, I know...it was initially titled 2020 instead of 2022. Thought Ray had a bit of a Freudian slip and predicting a repeat of that month. I'd take another 14" for December if it manages to stick around through Christmas at least but hoping we do a little better this year.
Barring the summer-like warmth recently, it seems like things are progressing like a typical mid-late fall would. It's too early for big snow storms despite the model fantasies. I would actually like to see a couple decent rainy nor'easters before we start talking snow. That feels like November. If we can get into a pattern where the storms can develop despite being wet vs. white, it's a harbinger of better things later.